Daily analysis of GBP/JPY for August 13, 2015 Market Analysis Review

Overview

According to the attached H4 chart, consolidation pattern from 195.86 is not completed yet. Thus, we expect strong resistance from 195.86 to limit upside and bring reversal. Meanwhile, a break of 190.99 will start the third leg of the consolidation and will target the 184.95 support. The uptrend from 116.83 is still in progress and would target 61.8% retracement of 251.09 to 116.83 at 199.80, which is close to the 200 psychological level. Medium-term momentum is not too convincing with bearish divergence condition in the weekly MACD. We'd be cautious in the medium term topping around 200 and bring a deep correction. Meanwhile, a break of 174.86 will suggest that the trend has reversed earlier than we expected.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 193.25; (P) 194.13; (R1) 194.81;

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