Sunday 30 November 2014

Trading recommendation on EUR/USD for December 01, 2014 Market Analysis Review

This calendar week stocks lots of important economic events which can greatly affect the pair in the near term. We can expect highly volatile week ahead of the ECB press conference on Thursday December 04, 2014. This week started with a SNB vote on a gold-asset requirement. The Swiss referendum weighs against Gold and supported the US dollar. On the Euro front, Spanish and Italian manufacturing PMI will be published. On the greenback front, ISM manufacturing PMI data will be released at today's session. Today, the pair opened on a bearish note, opened higher at 1.2463. Until the prices are trading below 1.2463, we recommend not to be on the buying side. The pair has the nearest support at 1.2350 and 1.2320. Panic will be triggered below 1.2320. Bears can challenge 200 odd pips on the down side. If a weekly close is below 1.2350, we can expect 500 odd pips correction on the down side from the longer-term view. The pair has strong longer-term support at 1.2226. Below 1.2226, the levels of 1.2045 and 1.1876 are another multiple support levels. We have been recommending selling on every upswing with the downside initial targets at 1.2320 and 1.2230.


EURUSDWeekly.png

From an intraday view, the prices are closed and trading below 12ema and 35DEMA. The pair opened below the 20Dsma. The pair has been taking support at 1.2427. We recommend fresh selling below 1.2425 with the targets at 1.2415, 1.2405 ,1.2395, and 1.2375. On the down side, the pair has support at 1.2358, below this 1.2350, 1.2325 and 1.2228. In case if the pair corrects below 1.2358, again the selling pressure will increase. The panic will be triggered below 1.2320. On an intraday and positional basis, we recommend selling on every upswing.


Trade: selling below 1.2425.


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Technical analysis of EUR/USD for December 01, 2014 Market Analysis Review

!EURUSD.jpg When the European market opens, some economic news will be released such as Spanish Manufacturing PMI, Italian Manufacturing PMI, and Final Manufacturing PMI. The US will release the economic reports too such as the Final Manufacturing PMI, ISM Manufacturing PMI, ISM Manufacturing Prices. In this context, EUR/USD will move low to medium volatility during this day.

TODAY TECHNICAL LEVELS:

Breakout BUY Level: 1.2497.

Strong Resistance:1.2489.

Original Resistance: 1.2477.

Inner Sell Area: 1.2465.

Target Inner Area: 1.2435.

Inner Buy Area: 1.2405.

Original Support: 1.2393.

Strong Support: 1.2381.

Breakout SELL Level: 1.2373.

Disclaimer: Trading Forex (foreign exchange) on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.


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Technical analysis of USD/JPY for December 01, 2014 Market Analysis Review

!USDJPY.jpg In Asia, Japan will release the Capital Spending q/y and Final Manufacturing PMI. The US will also release some economic data such as Final Manufacturing PMI, ISM Manufacturing PMI, and ISM Manufacturing Prices. So, there is a big probability the USD/JPY pair will move with low to medium volatility during the Asian session, and with the same volatility too during the US session.

TODAY TECHNICAL LEVELS:

Resistance. 3: 119.47.

Resistance. 2: 119.24.

Resistance. 1: 119.01.

Support. 1: 118.72.

Support. 2: 118.49.

Support. 3: 118.26.

Disclaimer: Trading Forex (foreign exchange) on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.


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For detail explanation and best discovery on daily market trends and news you may visit via Technical analysis of USD/JPY for December 01, 2014 . Thanks for your support.

Daily analysis of major pairs for December 1, 2014 Market Analysis Review

EUR/USD: The bias on the EUR/USD pair remains bearish in spite of bull's effort to push price upwards. Rallies into the resistance lines at 1.2500 and 1.2600 should be seen as short-selling opportunities (for price may go further downwards from there). It is only a break above the resistance line at 1.2600 that can render the bearish bias invalid.


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USD/CHF: The bias on this pair remains bullish in spite of the bearish attempt on it. Pullbacks into the support levels at 0.9600 and 0.9550 should be seen as good offers to buy long, unless price breaks the support level at 0.9550 to the downside. In that case, the bias could turn bearish.


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GBP/USD: The Cable is weak, even weaker than EUR/USD. Therefore, long trades are not currently recommended unless price breaks the distribution territory at 1.5800 to the upside. In the near-term, price may touch the accumulation territories at 1.5600 and 1.5550.


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USD/JPY: The ultimate target for USD/JPY is at the supply level of 119.00, and price is now close to that target. With further strength in the market, the supply level can be breached to the upside as the bulls continue to push price up. In that case, the next target could be the supply level at 119.50.


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EUR/JPY: This cross moved upwards at the beginning of last week and then moved sideways; before breaking further upwards on Friday. As expected, momentum has returned to this market and it has resumed its upwards journey. This has happened following the short-term base that was built by the sideways movement that occurred last week. The ultimate target is at the supply zone of 149.00 – which would be reached only with significant strength in the market.


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Daily analysis of USDX for December 01, 2014 Market Analysis Review

The USDX continues to strengthen in the bullish trend above the level of 87.93 in the H4 chart. The USDX is trying to touch new high levels, although the resistance level of 88.44 has been very strong. However, if this instrument can overcome this barrier, it's expected to touch the resistance level of 88.65. The MACD indicator is in the overbought zone.


H4chart's resistance levels: 88.27 / 88.44


H4chart's support levels: 88.19 / 87.93


USDXH4.png

In the H1 chart, the USDX is forming a bullish pattern above the 88.15 level, because this instrument managed to stay strong above the 200-day moving average at the last session. On the upside road, objectives would be set at the levels of 88.43 and 88.71. The possibility that the USDX falls again to the level of 87.86 is not ruled out.


H1 chart's resistance levels: 88.43 / 88.71


H1 chart's support levels: 88.15 / 87.86


USDXH1.png


Trading recommendations for today: Based on the H1 chart, place buy (long) orders only if the USD Index breaks with a bullish candlestick; the resistance level is at 88.43, take profit is at 88.71, and stop loss is at 88.14.


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Daily analysis of GBP/USD for December 01, 2014 Market Analysis Review

The GBP/USD pair has had a strong fall below the resistance level of 1.5746, because this pair is trying to continue the bearish trend in the medium term. If the GBP/USD pair manages to form another fractal at the current levels, this pair is likely to rise up again to the level of 1.5746. Now, the MACD indicator is entering the overbought area.


Dailychart's resistance levels: 1.5746 / 1.5883


Dailychart's support levels: 1.5642 / 1.5506


GBPUSDDaily.png


In the H1 chart, the GBP/USD pair has made a rebound at the support level of 1.5632. The GBP/USD pair may perform a retracement to the 1.5686 level, which is below the 200-day moving average. However, this pair has been very solid in the current bearish trend from the November 27's session, so we could see this pair drop to the level of 1.5590. The MACD indicator is entering the oversold area.


H1 chart's resistance levels: 1.5739 / 1.5810


H1 chart's support levels: 1.5686 / 1.5632


GBPUSDH1.png


Trading recommendations for today: Based on the H1 chart, place sell (short) orders only if the GBP/USD pair breaks a bearish candlestick; the support level is at 1.5632, take profit is at 1.5590, and stop loss is at 1.5672.


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Elliott wave analysis of EUR/NZD for December 1 - 2014 Market Analysis Review

2014-12-01-EURNZD-8H.png


Technical summary:


We are still looking for a break above minor resistance at 1.5920 to confirm acceleration higher towards 1.6000 and 1.6273. Only an unexpected break below support at 1.5788 will delay the expected upside for a move slightly lower to 1.5745 before the next upside pressure should be expected.


Trading recommendation:


We are long in EUR from 1.5830 with stop placed at 1.5775. If you are not long in EUR yet, then buy a break above 1.5920 and use the same stop at 1.5775.


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Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY for December 1 - 2014 Market Analysis Review

2014-12-01-EURJPY-8H.png


Technical summary:


We are still looking for wave b a little higher towards 148.25 before wave c lower towards 143.88 will be ready to take over. Short term, we should expect minor support at 147.31 will protect the downside for a break above minor resistance at 147.77 confirming the last rally higher to 148.25 and set the stage for wave c lower towards 143.88. Only a direct break below support at 146.88 will indicate that the wave is already over and wave c lower is already unfolding.


Trading recommendation:


We are still looking to sell EUR at 148.10 with a stop at 149.25.


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USDCAD Daily Analysis - December 1, 2014 Forex Analysis

USDCAD is facing 1.1466 resistance, a break of this level will signal resumption of the uptrend from 1.0619 (Jul 3 low), then next target would be at 1.1600 area. Support is at 1.1380, only break below this level could bring price back to 1.1200 area.



usdcad chart






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USDCHF Daily Analysis - December 1, 2014 Forex Analysis

USDCHF moved sideways in a trading range between 0.9531 and 0.9739. As long as 0.9531 support holds, the price action in the range could be treated as consolidation of the uptrend from 0.9370, another rise to 1.0000 could be expected after consolidation. Resistance is at 0.9739, a break of this level could signal resumption of the uptrend.



usdchf chart






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USDJPY Daily Analysis - December 1, 2014 Forex Analysis

USDJPY broke above 118.97 resistance, indicating that the uptrend from 105.32 has resumed. Further rise could be expected, and next target would be at 122.00 area. Support is now at 117.23, only break below this level could signal completion of the uptrend.



usdjpy chart






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AUDUSD Daily Analysis - December 1, 2014 Forex Analysis

AUDUSD's downward movement from 0.8795 extended to as low as 0.8416. Resistance is now located at the downward trend line on 4-hour chart, as long as the trend line resistance holds, the downtrend could be expected to continue, and next target would be at 0.8300 area. Only a clear break above the trend line resistance could signal completion of the downtrend.



audusd chart






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GBPUSD Daily Analysis - December 1, 2014 Forex Analysis

GBPUSD broke below 1.5590 support, indicating that the downtrend from 1.6182 has resumed. Further decline could be expected, and next target would be at 1.5400 area. Resistance is at 1.5670, only break above this level will indicate that lengthier consolidation for the downtrend is needed, then further rise to test 1.5825 resistance could be seen.



gbpusd chart






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EURUSD Daily Analysis - December 1, 2014 Forex Analysis

EURUSD moved sideways in a trading range between 1.2358 and 1.2599. The price action in the range is likely consolidation of the downtrend from 1.2867, another fall to 1.2000 area is still possible after consolidation. Support is at 1.2358, a breakdown below this level could signal resumption of the downtrend.



eurusd chart






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Friday 28 November 2014

Intraday technical levels and trading recommendations on GBP/USD for November 28, 2014 Market Analysis Review

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Previously around 61.8% - 50% Fibonacci levels ( Price zone between 1.6240 and 1.6350 ), a long-term bearish trend was initiated almost two months ago.


The market successfully pushed below 1.6100 shortly after. Prominent bullish DEMAND existed around price zone of 1.5940 - 1.5880. This paused the bearish momentum for almost 20 days before it was resumed.


Then, price zone of 1.6100-1.6140 constituted a prominent SUPPLY zone. The pair has moved sideways until recent bearish breakout took place.


Daily fixation below 1.5870 has put further bearish pressure on the pair to reach 1.5780, 1.5700 and 1.5650 where the back side of the mentioned bearish channel is located.


The previous daily candlesticks represented intraday DEMAND offered around 1.5650 after such a strong bearish momentum. Sideway movement has been taking place for a whole week.


Today, the market is pushing above 1.5800 further beyond the downtrend line that has been respected for 20 days now. The GBP/USD pair has a solid Intraday SUPPLY around 1.5800-1.5820 where many important Fibonacci Levels are located.


gbpusd4h.jpg


4H chart reveals long period of downside movement roughly maintained within the limits of the depicted channel.


Last week, the bears managed to break below the recent low around 1.5790. This exposed the potential target at 1.5700 and 1.5650 where the backside of the broken channel is roughly located.


As anticipated, risky traders could have taken a BUY position around 1.5600-1.5650. It has achieved most of its targets by now.


This week, conservative traders were instructed to wait for a bullish pull-back towards 1.5820-1.5860 for a low-risk SELL entry.This position was triggered Yesterday as anticipated. It's already running in profits now.


Stop Loss should be lowered to 1.5860 ( slightly above entry levels ). This is now a risk-free position.


Price level of 1.5650 is the first target where profits should be taken until the next destination of the pair gets clear.


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Technical analysis of USD/JPY for November 28, 2014 Market Analysis Review

USDJPYM30.png


Fundamental overview:


USD/JPY is expected to trade in a higher range. It is underpinned by the broadly firmer dollar undertone (ICE spot dollar index last 88.00 versus 87.67 early Thursday) as oil prices plunge after OPEC's decision to stick to its existing target for oil production rather than cutting it in response to tumbling oil prices. USD/JPY is also supported by the demand from Japan's importers and Bank of Japan's large-scale easing policy. But USD/JPY gains are tempered by Japan's export sales and positions adjustment ahead of the weekend. Financial markets in U.S. were close early Friday after Thanksgiving.


Technical comment:
Daily chart is mixed as MACD and stochastics are bearish, but five-day moving average is meandering sideways above rising 15-day moving average.


Trading recommendations:

The pair is trading above its pivot point. It is likely to trade in a higher range as far as it remains above its pivot point. As long as the price is keeping above its pivot point, a long position is recommended with the first target at 118.90 and the second target at 119.30. In an alternative scenario, if the price moves below its pivot points, short positions are recommended with the first target at 117.60. A break of this target would push the pair further downwards and one may expect the second target at 117. The pivot point is at 117.85.


Resistance levels:

118.90

119.30

119.75


Support levels:

117.60

117

116.65


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Technical analysis of USD/CHF for November 28, 2014 Market Analysis Review

1417188814_GBPJPYM30.png


Fundamental overview:


USD/CHF is expected to trade in a higher range. It is supported by the broadly firmer dollar undertone (ICE spot dollar index last 88.00 versus 87.67 early Thursday) as oil prices plunge after OPEC's decision to stick to its existing target for oil production rather than cutting it in response to tumbling oil prices and ultra-loose Swiss National Bank's monetary policy. But USD/CHF gains are tempered by the positions adjustment ahead of the weekend.


Technical comments:

Daily chart is mixed as MACD is bearish but stochastics is neutral.


Trading recommendations:

The pair is trading above its pivot point. It is likely to trade in a higher range as far as it remains above its pivot point. As long as the price is keeping above its pivot point, a long position is recommended with the first target at 0.9670 and the second target at 0.970. In an alternative scenario, if the price moves below its pivot points, short positions are recommended with the first target at 0.9575. A break of this target would push the pair further downwards and one may expect the second target at 0.9545. The pivot point is at 0.9610.


Resistance levels:

0.9670

0.97

0.9720



Support levels:
0.9575

0.9545

0.9515


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Technical analysis of GBP/JPY for November 28, 2014 Market Analysis Review

GBPJPYM30.png


Fundamental overview:


GBP/JPY is expected to consolidate with a bullish bias. It is supported by the firmer USD/JPY undertone and demand from Japan's importers. But GBP/JPY upside is limited by Japan's export sales and soft EUR/USD and Bank of Japan's large-scale easing policy. Daily chart is mixed as MACD and stochastics are turning bearish, but five-day moving average meandering sideways above rising 15-day moving average.


Technical comment:

Daily chart is mixed as MACD and stochastics are turning bearish, but five-day moving average meandering sideways above rising 15-day moving average.


Trading recommendations:

The pair is trading above its pivot point. It is likely to trade in a higher range as far as it remains above its pivot point. As long as the price is keeping above its pivot point, a long position is recommended with the first target at 186.15 and the second target at 186.50. In an alternative scenario, if the price moves below its pivot points, short positions are recommended with the first target at 157.70. A break of this target would push the pair further downwards and one may expect the second target at 184. The pivot point is at 185.10.


Resistance levels:

186.15

186.50

186.75

Support levels:

184.70

184

183.35


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EUR/NZD : analysis for November 28, 2014 Market Analysis Review

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Overview:


In our last analysis, EUR/NZD has been trading upwards. As we expected, the price tested the level of 1.5896 in an average volume. According to the 4H time frame, we can oberve weak demand on the market, which is a sign that buying EUR/NZD at this stage looks risky. I have placed Fibonacci retracement to find potential resistance levels and I got Fibonacci retracement 38.2% at the price of 1.5870 (currently on the test) and Fibonacci retracement 61.8% at the price of 1.5920. According to the daily time frame, we got absorption volume but from the other side we got strong resistance around the price of 1.6030.


Daily Fibonacci pivot levels:


Resistance levels:


R1: 1.5886


R2: 1.5911


R3: 1.5951


Support levels:


S1: 1.5805


S2: 1.5780


S3: 1.5739


Trading recommendations: Be careful when selling EUR/NZD since we got a strong absorption volume in the background buy pay attention on the 1.6030 level


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Elliott wave analysis of EUR/NZD for November 28 - 2014 Market Analysis Review

2014-11-28-EURNZD-8H.png


Technical summary:


We are still looking for wave c to take off soon. However, a break above minor resistance at 1.5900 and more importantly a break above resistance at 1.5972 is needed to confirm, that wave c higher is developing for a continuation towards 1.6273 on the way higher to 1.6446 and 1.6800. If however, resistance at 1.5900 protects the upside for a break below minor support at 1.5830 the expected rally higher will be delayed for a new test of 1.5788 before the next rally higher can be expected.


Trading recommendation:


We are long in EUR from 1.5830 with stop place at 1.5775. If you are not long in EUR yet, then buy a break above 1.5900 with the same stop.


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Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY for November 28 - 2014 Market Analysis Review

2014-11-28-EURJPY-H.png


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Technical summary:


Our preferred count is still calling for a move lower soon, but the failure to break clearly lower does open for an alternative count calling for a rally past resistance at 147.42 calling for wave b higher towards 148.20 before wave b is over and wave c will be ready to take over for a decline towards 143.88. As long as resistance at 147.42 protects the upside, we will be looking for signs of a wave c lower, but only a break below support at 146.69 will confirm that wave c is developing.


Trading recommendation:


We are short in EUR from 146.90 with with stop at 147.50. If our stop is taken out, we will sell EUR again at 148.10 with stop at 149.25.


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Daily analysis of Silver for 28 November, 2014 Market Analysis Review

SILVER_28-11.png


Overview


As it is seen in today's H4 chart, the metal is stabilizing above the Support level of 16.00 after breaking the Support level of 16.50 yesterday. Currently, we should wait for retesting the Support level again and closing below it to get the bearish move opportunity. In that case, we will get a good opportunity to sell below the Support level till testing the next Support level of 15.70. Therefore, we can consider our first target few pips above this Support level, but as long as the price is still above the Support level of 16.00, this cancels the bearish move scenario.


Resistance and support levels: R3(17.00), R2(16.75), R1(16.50), S1(16.00), S2(15.70), S3(15.40)


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Daily analysis of GBP/JPY for November 28, 2014 Market Analysis Review

GBPJPY_28-11.png


Overview


Proceeding from the today's H4 chart, the pair is still trading between the Support level of 184.40 and the Resistance level of 186.00. Currently, the pair has failed again to break the Resistance level. If the pair breaks it to take an upward movement, it might continue its bullish trend and we will get a good opportunity to buy again above the Resistance level till closing 4H above the Resistance level of 186.60 as a target. Then, we should wait for breaking this Resistance level to continue the upward move and open the way towards the Resistance level of 187.00. On the other hand, if the pair fails to break the Resistance level of 186.00 and bounces from it, it may take a downward trend, which will enable the Support level of 184.40 again, Therefore, we suggest waiting for the next closing before making the decision.


Resistance and support levels: R3 (187.00) R2 (186.60) R1 (186.00), S1 (184.40), S2 (183.30), S3 (181.00).






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Technical analysis of USD/CAD for November 28, 2014 Market Analysis Review

usdcadh4.png


Overview :



  • The USD/CAD pair has already formed strong resistance at the level of 1.1465; furthermore, the same level coincides with the ratio of 100% Fibonacci retracement levels. Equally important, it should be noticed that minor support will be set at the level of 1.1323 around the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels in H4 chart. As shown, the price of the USD/CAD pair has been moving between 1.1320 and 1.1412. It should be also noted that the price moved lower to 1.1320 and turned higher. So, the range will be about 73 pips today. Additionally, the RSI and the moving average (100) are still calling for an uptrend. Consequently, the market is going to indicate bullish opportunities at the levels of 1.1320 and 1.1350; with the first target of 1.1408 and continuing towards 1.2465 in order to test resistance. On the other hand, if the price falls to close above the level of 1.1465, hence the price will call for a bearish market to go further towards the daily pivot point at 1.1307.


Intraday technical levels:


Date: 28/11/2014


Pair: USD/CAD



  • R3: 1.1499

  • R2: 1.1427

  • R1: 1.1379

  • PP: 1.1307

  • S1: 1.1259

  • S2: 1.1187

  • S3: 1.1139


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Technical analysis of EUR/USD for November 28, 2014 Market Analysis Review

eurusdh1.png

Overview :



  • The price of the EUR/USD pair is still moving between the levels of 1.2570 and 1.2360. Moreover, it should be noted that the market is not so stable. So is the trend because the market is wobbling, the range will be around 92 pips pips next week. Additionally, the value of 100% Fibonacci retracement levels is 1.2600 (double top). The key level of 1.2600 is present to confirm a bearish market. This level will act as strong resistance because it coincides with the weekly resistance 2. Therefore, sell deals are recommended below 1.2600 or 1.2570 with the target at the level of 1.2417. It will resume towards 1.2360 in order to form a double bottom at this level. Moreover, the price will call for a bearish market to go further towards the level of 1.2330 to test the last support on November 28, 2014. However, it should be noted that the stop loss should never exceed your maximum exposure amounts. So, the best location to set the stop loss should be above the double top.


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#USDX Technical analysis for November 28, 2014 Market Analysis Review

The Dollar index has held support and is breaking above the sideways channel once again. Is this time for real or is this the last chance for bears to reverse the market? I remain bullish targeting 91. The weekly chart is getting better and better and with EUR/USD and GBP/USD weakness I believe we can see a nice long tail in the weekly chart that confirms the strength of Dollar bulls.


usdxd.jpg

The bullish flag within the bullish flag pattern remains intact and I remain bullish targeting at least 91. The trend remains bullish and the weekly candle means that the red body makes a push higher and a long tail implies how bullish the next week can be. Support is held for now and if resistance at 88.35-88.50 is broken we should expect an explosive rise towards 90-91 which is the target of the bllish flag patterns.


usdx.jpg

In the shorter-term, on the 4-hour chart we observe how price has held above the thin ichimoku cloud and how bulls are trying once again to break above the trading range. Resistance is at 88.45 and support is at 87.80. Bulls continue to have the upper hand and I remain bullish and positive as long as we hold above 87.50.


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Technical analysis of USD/CAD for November 28, 2014 Market Analysis Review

General overview for 28/11/2014 09:20 CET


The level of 1.1368 has been violated and that means the ending diagonal idea is now invalidated. Currently, the main count has been invalidated as well and the alternative count is in play right now. This count indicates more impulsive wave development to the upside as the market broken out from the golden corrective channel. The first major target area is the supply zone between the levels of 1.1445 - 1.1465, but more advanced impulsive structure that is being expected is the zone is broken.


Support/Resistance:


1.1504 - WR3


1.1445 - 1.1465 - Supply Zone


1.1437 - WR2


1.1389 - 1.1395 - Wave iii Target Zone


1.1367 - Intraday Support


Trading recommendations:


Traders should consider buying the dips as the market has finally broke out of the corrective channel. All SL should be placed below the level of 1.1224.


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Gold Technical analysis for November 28, 2014 Market Analysis Review

Gold price continues to look weak as it has broken below $1,190 and is making lower lows and lower highs. The rounding top at the 61.8% retracement is an early bearish signal that will get confirmed if $1,174 is broken. The short-term target will be $1,140.


gold.jpg

Red line = resistance


Blue line = critical support


Black lines = trend support


Gold price has broken the short-term support of $1,189 and is now going to test the second and most important support at $1,174. The topping formation looks like a rounding top with the neckline at $1,174 where the previous low was and where the black trend line is found. The short-term target if prices break $1,174 support is at $1,140.


goldh4.jpg

Black lines = triangle pattern


Red line = support


Gold price has clearly broken down and out of the triangle and is inside the medium term ichimoku cloud support confirming that the trend has changed from bullish to neutral and that soon we could see this change to bearish. If the red trend line fails to hold, the trend will change to bearish. As I said in yesterday's post, I prefer to be short with $1,208 stop as I believe an important top is at that level. We could be at the early stages of a new downard move towards $1,050. I remain bearish.


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Technical analysis of EUR/JPY for November 28, 2014 Market Analysis Review


Technical outlook and chart setups:


The EUR/JPY has been clearly trading sideways between 146.30 and 147.30 since it broke below the immediate trend line support. Please note that the back side of the trend line support is now providing enough room to rally past the 149.00 levels. A more likely probability from here is to break higher towards 151.00 and 154.00 respectively. On the flip side, a break below 145.50 could see the pair further correcting towards 142.00 levels, towards the outer trend line support as seen here. Immediate resistance is seen at 149.00 levels, while support is seen at 145.50 respectively.


Trading recommendations:


It is recommended to remain long now, stop is at 145.50, the target is open.


Good luck!


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Technical analysis of GBP/CHF for November 28, 2014 Market Analysis Review


Technical outlook and chart setups:


The GBP/CHF pair is trading at the 1.5170 levels for now and could be looking to push higher towards at least 1.5270, which is also the fibonacci 0.618 resistance of the drop from 1.5450 to 1.4950 levels earlier. Also note that 1.5300 is past support turned resistance now and hence a reaction could be expected there. Immediate resistance is at 1.5300, followed by 1.5450, 1.5475 and higher while support is seen at 1.5120, followed by 1.5020, 1.4950 and lower respectively. It is recommended to remain long for now, with risk at 1.5000 levels. Bulls could remain in control till at least 1.5300 if not higher.


Trading recommendations:


Remain long, stop is at 1.5, the target is at 1.53.


Good luck!


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Technical analysis of Silver for November 28, 2014 Market Analysis Review


Technical outlook and chart setups:


Silver remains structurally constructive for bulls till prices are above $15.90 levels and also in the buy zone of the support trend line. The metal is trading at $16.11 at the moment, after testing sub $16.00 levels today. Immediate support is seen at $15.90 levels, followed by $15.30, $15.00 and lower while resistance is seen at $17.40/50, followed by $17.80/18.00 levels and higher respectively. It is recommended to remain long, with risk around $15.50. The overall structure is no doubt bearish but the metal could possibly push higher till $15.90 remains intact.


Trading recommendations:


Remain long for now, stop at $15.50, the target is open.


Good luck!


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Technical analysis of Gold for November 28, 2014 Market Analysis Review


Technical outlook and chart setups:


Gold has retraced further towards $1,180.00 levels, and is looking to form base ahead of $1,175.00. Please note that the support trend line is also passing just below $1,180.00 levels for now. Only a break below trend line would suggest that a meaningful top is in place and that the metal is looking to reverse lower below $1,130.00. Immediate support is seen at $1,175.00, followed by $1,145.00, $1,130.00 and lower while resistance is seen at $1,208.00(interim), followed by $1,235.00, $1,255.00 and higher respectively. It is still recommended to remain long, with risk below $1,175.00 levels for a possible extended rally towards $1,240.00 and $1,255.00 respectively. Break below $1,175.00 would negate the bullish view in near future.


Trading recommendations:


Remain long for now, stop at $1,170.00, the target is open.


Good luck!


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Technical Analysis of Gold for November 28, 2014 Market Analysis Review

After 4 days of consolidation at 50Dsma at the previous session, the metal fell to the 1185.00 levels. Today, the metal opened on a bearish note as well. The metal has strong resistance between $1,205.00 and $1,207.00. Until the metal closes below above these levels, bears have an upper hand. This week, we can expect high volatility in the metal prices. The Swiss gold referendum will take place on November 30, 2014. The nearest weekly resistance exists at $1,213.50, above this $1,240 and $1,243.00 are major resistance levels. Bulls will regain strength in case if the metal prices close above $1,207.00. From an intraday view, the prices have support at $1,180.00, below this $1,177.00 and $1,174.50 are major support levels. In the hourly chart, the metal is making higher highs and higher lows. We can expect panic selling below the $1,174.50 levels. In case if the metal prices fall below $1,174.00, we can declare broadening top in the near term. We recommend fresh selling below the $1,180.00 levels. In case if the metal bounces from the support levels, use every rise to sell up to $1,197.00 levels.


GOLDH4.png


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Technical Analysis of GBP/JPY for November 28, 2014 Market Analysis Review

The pound sterling has been consolidating for 7 sessions in a row. It tried to breach 186.15 multiple times, but failed to breach that. As of now, this week the pair made a triple top at 186.15. Ahead of the Japanese data, the JPY looks very weak. The cross opened on a bullish note, opened lower at 185.21. As of now, in Asia's session, the cross made high at 185.87. Safe buying will take place above 186.20. The pound is continuing its winning streak for 6 weeks. The pair has support at 185.00 and 183.99. In case if the prices close above 186.15 on a daily basis, the pair challenges 186.90, 187.45, and 188.30. On the hourly charts, the cross is forming an ascending triangle. The height of the triangle is 2.16 pips. The support levels are rising, representing further initial bullishness. In case if the prices give an upside breakout, we can expect further green bars the next week as well. In case, if the prices again rejected at the higher levels between 186.00 and 186.15, we can expect panic selling towards 185.00; huge panic will be created below 185.00. While I am preparing this article, the prices are facing strong resistance at 185.87 (8hr high). The hourly RSI is indicating further bullishness. We recommend traders waiting patiently for a clear confirmation of a breakout on the higher side. Today, the pound sterlinglooks weak against the US dollar.


Trade:


Buying above 186.20.


Selling below 185.00. GBPJPYH1.png


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Technical Analysis of USD/CAD for November 28, 2014 Market Analysis Review

Oil prices have been weighing against the CAD recently. During yesterday's OPEC meeting, oil prices plunged to a 4-year low. The cartel decided not to cut oil output. As we recommended on Wednesday, above 1.1325 the price will be supported by buying. The pair is facing resistance at 1.1369. In case if the price manages to breach this, it can extend its upswing movement towards the resistance zone between 1.1396 and 1.1402. We can see the real strength above 1.1402 towards 1.1450 and 1.1467. Today, in case if the pair closes above 1.1330, this will become the highest ever close for 5-years on a weekly basis. In case the pair manages to close above 1.1402 on a daily basis, it can challenge 100 and 140 odd pips in a day or two. As we recommended earlier, the pair will challenge 1.1530 in the near term, 1.1644 and 1.1685 in the medium term and 1.1900, 1.2350 in the long term perspective. The pair has resistance at 1.1425 on a daily closing basis. Today, the focus shifts to GDP data. The pair formed a strong base between the 1.1230 and 1.1200 levels. This pair favours using every dip to buy .


USDCADH4.png


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Thursday 27 November 2014

Technical Analysis of EUR/USD for November 28, 2014 Market Analysis Review

The pair rejected at the descending trend line and closed below the 20Dsma. The US dollar was supported at yesterday's session even in the holiday- thinned trade. Today, the pair opened below 20Dsma, made a low at 1.2457. On the down side, the pair has support at 1.2440 and 1.2400. We recommend safe selling below 1.2400 and risk trades can sell below 1.2440 with the targets at 1.2375, 1.2360, and 1.2325. Speculators sell can at the current market price 1.2465, sl 1.2475 with the targets at 1.2455 and 1.2444. Below 1.2440, we can expect the 1.2410 and 1.2400 levels. The pair will go through strong selling pressure below 1.2400 towards 1.2360 and panic will be triggered below 1.2320. In case, the prices close above 1.2600, further 200 pips upswing will ignite. For the near term, 1.2600 is the key level on the bullish front and 1.2350 and 12320 are the key support levels on the support side. The panic will be triggered below 1.2320 with the targets at 1.2250 and 1.2226. In case if the prices close below 1.2226, the pair can extend its fall up to 1.2100. Today, focus shifts to German retail sales, French consumer spending, core CPI estimate, unemployment data, and mainly CPI flash estimates. At yesterday's session, the euro fell after the weak inflation report. Any negative readings released, we can expect 1.2400 and 1.2360 again at today's session.


EURUSDDaily.png


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Daily analysis of USDX for November 28, 2014 Market Analysis Review

On the daily chart, the USDX remains in a consolidation phase, between 88.63 and 87.35. During today's session, the USDX could move with very low liquidity, since today is a day off after Thanksgiving holiday in the US. So, the USDX will not have significant changes affecting its current trend. The MACD indicator is moving into the negative territory.


Dailychart's resistance levels: 88.63 / 90.40


Dailychart's support levels: 87.35 / 86.20


USDXDaily.png

The USDX has managed to consolidate above the 200 SMA on the H1 chart, so the next target in the bullish road would be the resistance level of 88.15. However, the USDX could suffer a bearish pressure next week, although the MACD indicator could give it a bullish momentum. This instrument could climb above the 88.15 level and achieve the target level of 88.43.


H1 chart's resistance levels: 88.15 / 88.43


H1 chart's support levels: 87.86 / 87.58


USDXH1.png


Trading recommendations for today: Based on the H1 chart, place buy (long) orders only if the USD Index breaks with a bullish candlestick; the resistance level is at 88.15, take profit is at 88.43, and stop loss is at 87.86.


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