AUD/USD - Key level 0.9519 - daily strategy for June 19, 2013 Trend News

The Australian dollar has been pushed down below the weekly pivot line, which is located at 0.9519. We see that it is still very difficult to sell the Aussie at this level again in the medium term. We hold our bearish outlook to the 0.9270 area, but in the coming days the pair may move upwards only if it is trading above 0.9520. So we recommend buying the pair only if on the H4 it is above this level. On the other hand, below 0.95 sales are secured to the first weekly support of 0.9375 and below even up 0.9181. The Momentum Indicator formed a bullish channel, due to that this channel has not been broken, it is likely that the Aussie gains bullish momentum to 0.9713.

If you need personal consultation, Skype: gerardofx or contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

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GBP/USD - Bearish outlook for June 19, 2013 (daily strategy) Trend News

This morning the British pound looked very bizarre in the American session, it moved without a clear direction. But also without the upward force shown in the previous days. The decline of British currency to 1.5640 could mean the beginning of medium-term downtrend. However, if you look at the chart, this pair is above the weekly pivot and below the 200-day EMA. It looks a bearish movement for the next few days will be observed, but since today relevant data will be revealed it is very likely to be volatile. Therefore, if the pair makes a pullback on the weekly R1 around 1.5799, you can sell only if the pair meets resistance, if you see this area fails you must wait until the next resistance to sell. We do not recommend buying at current levels because the Momentum Indicator is showing a bearish signal, which is most likely the decline of the pair.

If you need personal consultation, Skype: gerardofx or contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

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Elliott Wave analysis of EUR/NZD for June 19, 2013 Trend News

Today's Support and Resistance levels:

R3: 1.6913

R2: 1.6870

R1: 1.6825

Current spot: 1.6768

S1: 1.6742

S2: 1.6710

S3: 1.6669

Technical overview:

We are currently in black wave v higher from the 1.6388 low. Since the low at 1.6388, we have seen an impulsive rally to 1.6825. It marks red wave i and we are currently in red wave ii, which we expect needs one last decline to just below 1.6669 before the next rally higher towards at least 1.7109 and more likely higher towards 1.7372 in an extension in red wave iii. As long as short-term resistance at 1.6825 protects the upside we are expecting the decline towards 1.6669, but a break above 1.6825 indicates that red wave iii is already under way higher.

Trading recommendation:

We are long EUR from 1.6450 with a break-even stop at 1.6450. If you are not long EUR already, then buy close to 1.6669 or upon a break above 1.6825 (one order cancels the other) with a stop at 1.6450 too.

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