Wednesday 18 November 2015

Elliott wave analysis of EUR/NZD for November 19, 2015 Market Analysis Review

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Wave summary:

A sideways consolidation between 1.61.24 and 1.6545 is becoming a never-ending and depressing story. We still continue to watch for a clear breakout above resistance at 1.6545, but they need to move soon in the face of the risk to turn lower for one final decline closer to 1.5882 to end the decline from 1.9114.

Trading recommendation:

We are long EUR from 1.6360 with stop placed at 1.6280. Buy EUR closer to 1.6300 or upon a breakout above 1.6545 and use the same stop at 1.6280.

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Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY for November 19, 2015 Market Analysis Review

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Wave summary:

A failure to accelerate lower and a breakout above 131.73 taken place overnight did not meet our expectation of a decline in wave wave (iii). The decline from 141.06 in early June is clearly corrective as a nice symmetrical triangle was seen as wave b. Triangles will only be seen in wave 4 or as corrective B waves or X waves. This was a corrective decline, but how it should unfold and is still unclear. However, the failure to accelerate lower indicates that the corrective decline from 141.06 has come to an end and now we have to see how the rally from a low of 130.64 unfolds. A small five wave rally can indicate that the correction from 141.06 has ended.

Trading recommendation:

Our stop at 131.65 was hit for a small but nice profit. We will stand aside for now to observe the rally of the 130.64 low.

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For detail explanation and best discovery on daily market trends and news you may visit via Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY for November 19, 2015 . Thanks for your support.

Technical analysis of EUR/USD for November 19, 2015 Market Analysis Review

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When the European market opens, economic news on the ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts, Spanish 10-y Bond Auction, and Current Account is due to be released. The US will release publish data on the Natural Gas Storage, CB Leading Index m/m, Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, and Unemployment Claims. So amid the reports, EUR/USD will move with low to medium volatility during this day.

TODAY TECHNICAL LEVELS:

Breakout BUY Level: 1.0734.

Strong Resistance:1.0727.

Original Resistance: 1.0717.

Inner Sell Area: 1.0707.

Target Inner Area: 1.0682.

Inner Buy Area: 1.0657.

Original Support: 1.0647.

Strong Support: 1.0637.

Breakout sell level: 1.0630.

Disclaimer: Trading Forex (foreign exchange) on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.

The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

For detail explanation and best discovery on daily market trends and news you may visit via Technical analysis of EUR/USD for November 19, 2015 . Thanks for your support.

Technical analysis of USD/JPY for November 19, 2015 Market Analysis Review

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In Asia, Japan will release data on results of the BOJ Press Conference, All Industries Activity m/m, Monetary Policy Statement, and Trade Balance. The US will unveil economic data om the Natural Gas Storage, CB Leading Index m/m, Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, and Unemployment Claims. So, there is a strong probability that the USD/JPY pair will move with low to medium volatility during this day.

TODAY TECHNICAL LEVELS:

Resistance. 3: 124.07.

Resistance. 2: 123.82.

Resistance. 1: 123.59.

Support. 1: 123.28.

Support. 2: 123.04.

Support. 3: 122.80.

Disclaimer: Trading Forex (foreign exchange) on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.

The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

For detail explanation and best discovery on daily market trends and news you may visit via Technical analysis of USD/JPY for November 19, 2015 . Thanks for your support.

Daily analysis of USDX for November 19, 2015 Market Analysis Review

The US dollar index continues to trade below the resistance zone of 99.80, with no major moves after the FOMC minutes. The 200 SMA is in the H1 chart. However, the USDX is still focused on reaching new highs above the level of 100.00. By the way, if the index continues to trade inside the bullish bias in coming days, then it could rally towards the level of 100.25.

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H1 chart's resistance levels: 99.80 / 100.25

H1 chart's support levels: 99.25 / 98.31

Trading recommendations for today: Based on the H1 chart, place buy (long) orders only if the US dollar index breaks with a bullish candlestick; the resistance level is seen at 99.80, take profit is at 100.25, and stop loss is at 99.37.

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Daily analysis of GBP/USD for November 19, 2015 Market Analysis Review

There is no major changes in the GBP/USD intraday chart after the FOMC minutes, which were released during Wednesday's session. The pair keeps moving inside a a range between the levels of 1.5296 and 1.5205, where the 200 SMA is located on the H1 chart. When the cable does a breakout below the level of 1.5205, then it could fall towards the zone of 1.5142. The MACD indicator keeps showing positive signs.

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H1 chart's resistance levels: 1.5296 / 1.5365

H1 chart's support levels: 1.5205 / 1.5142

Trading recommendations for today: Based on the H1 chart, place sell (short) orders only if the GBP/USD pair breaks a bearish candlestick; the support level is found at 1.5205, take profit is at 1.5142, and stop loss is at 1.5270.

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For detail explanation and best discovery on daily market trends and news you may visit via Daily analysis of GBP/USD for November 19, 2015 . Thanks for your support.

GBP/USD intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for November 18, 2015 Market Analysis Review

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Overview:

Recently, the strong bullish pressure was applied at the resistance level of 1.5800 via the recent bullish swing.

Hence, the resistance level of 1.5800 was temporarily breached. Bulls moved towards 1.5900 where the depicted Head and Shoulders reversal pattern was confirmed.

Later, the support level of 1.5555 got breached by the end of September, due to the excessive bearish pressure, which originated at 1.5800.

The GBP/USD pair moved towards the support zone of 1.5170-1.5150 where a valid intraday buy entry was offered especially after the evident bullish rejection, which took place on October 6.

Conservative traders were advised to wait for a bullish pullback towards the level of 1.5480 for a low-risk sell entry.

Note that bearish persistence below the level of 1.5200 is needed for a further bearish decline towards the levels of 1.5000 (prominent weekly support).

A valid sell entry can be offered around the current levels (1.5200-1.5230). This can be confirmed when daily closure below 1.5180 is expressed before the end of the day.

On the other hand, a bullish breakout above the level of 1.5250 exposes next resistance levels around 1.5350 and 1.5450.

Price actions should be watched around 1.4980 where the lower limit of the depicted movement channel comes to meet the GBP/USD pair. This is where a valid buy entry can be offered. S/L should be located below 1.4900.

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For detail explanation and best discovery on daily market trends and news you may visit via GBP/USD intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for November 18, 2015 . Thanks for your support.

USD/CAD intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for November 18, 2015 Market Analysis Review

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Overview:

A bullish breakout above the zone of 1.2770-1.2800 was observed on July 15 (highlighted in blue).

The long-term bullish target was projected towards the level of 1.3270 (100% Fibonacci Expansion). However, bulls moved further above the resistance level, which was bypassed on September 23.

Significant bearish rejection was observed around 1.3450 where the 141.4% Fibonacci Expansion was roughly located.

Later on October 1, bearish persistence below 1.3270 (Fibonacci Expansion 100%) was expressed. This applied enough bearish pressure to expose the next support levels around 1.2910 and 1.2750 where long-term buy entries were suggested.

On October 23, daily closure above 1.3100 was achieved. Besides, this enhanced the bullish side of the market.

The level of 1.3270 (Fibonacci Expansion 100%) got exposed shortly after USD/CAD bulls managed to push above the level of 1.3100.

On October 28, a valid sell entry was suggested around the level of 1.3270 (FE 100%). Target levels were located at 1.3075 and 1.2930.

A bearish breakout below the support level at 1.3075 was mandatory to allow further bearish decline towards 1.2930. However, an evident bullish rejection was expressed around this level.

Another bullish visit towards the level of 1.3270 (FE 100%) was executed two weeks ago. A temporary bullish breakout above 1.3300 is currently taking place.

Hence, price reaction should be watched around the level of 1.3330 on a daily basis, as daily persistence above 1.3350 directly exposes the next resistance level of 1.3450, which corresponds to Fibonacci Expansion 141.0%.

Trading recommendations:

Traders should wait for either more bullish correction towards 1.3450 (FE 141.0%) or an obvious bearish closure below 1.3250 (FE 100%) to sell the USD/CAD pair.

S/L should be placed above entry levels. T/P levels should be placed at 1.3190 and 1.3080.

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For detail explanation and best discovery on daily market trends and news you may visit via USD/CAD intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for November 18, 2015 . Thanks for your support.

Intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for GBP/USD for November 18, 2015 Market Analysis Review

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Few months ago, the market was pushed above the weekly key zone around 1.5550 in an attempt to reach the area of 1.5900, which has been providing the GBP/USD pair with significant resistance.

Recent weekly candlesticks came as bearish engulfing candles, closing below the level of 1.5220 (the neckline of the Head and Shoulders pattern).

This supports the bearish side of the market in the long term. An approximate target should be located at the level of 1.4800 for this reversal pattern.

The previous demand level at 1.5200 (the origin of a previous bullish engulfing weekly candlestick) was broken down two weeks ago after it had provided significant bullish demand for the GBP/USD pair.

Hence, the price zone of 1.5200-1.5230 constitutes a significant supply zone to be watched for price reactions (more details on the daily chart).

The next demand level to meet the GBP/USD pair is located at 1.4950 (weekly demand level) if bearish persistence below 1.5200 is maintained on a weekly basis.

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The previous bearish movement found its way towards the level of 1.5200 (prominent demand level), which prevented further bearish decline.

Instead of it, evident bullish reaction was performed around 1.5200-1.5170 (resulting in bullish engulfing daily candlesticks).

This led to the previous bullish pullback towards 1.5600 (the backside of the depicted uptrend). It placed the GBP/USD pair under significant bearish pressure.

The demand levels of 1.5350 and 1.5200 were broken down last week. Currently, these levels constitute prominent supply to be watched for new sell entries. The level of 1.5200 is being revisited today.

Note that bearish persistence below 1.5200 is mandatory to allow a further bearish decline towards the next demand levels at 1.5090, 1.5025, and 1.4950.

On the other hand, a daily breakout above the supply level of 1.5220 enhances the bullish side of the market towards 1.5350.

Trading Recommendation:

Risky traders can sell the GBP/USD pair around 1.5220 (the current supply level). S/L can be placed above 1.5250.

On the other hand, a low-risk buy entry will probably be offered around the weekly demand levels at 1.5000-1.4950.

S/L should be placed below 1.4920. Initial T/P levels should be located at 1.5170 and 1.5300.

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For detail explanation and best discovery on daily market trends and news you may visit via Intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for GBP/USD for November 18, 2015 . Thanks for your support.

Intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for EUR/USD for November 18, 2015 Market Analysis Review

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The EUR/USD pair moved lower after breaking below the major demand levels around 1.2100 and 1.2000 where historical bottoms were previously established back in July 2012 and June 2010.

EUR/USD bears pushed the price slightly below the monthly demand level of 1.0550 (established in January 1997). Bullish recovery was observed shortly after.

April's candlestick came as bullish engulfing one. However, the next monthly candlesticks (July, August, September and October) reflected recent bearish rejection, which took place at the level of 1.1450.

Hence, in the long term, a projected target is still seen at 0.9450 if a bearish breakdown of the monthly demand level at 1.0555 occurs before the end of the current month.

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On August 24, the market looked overbought as bulls were pushing the pair further beyond the level of 1.1500 (daily supply level).

Recently, the intraday supply zone of 1.1360-1.1400 provided significant bearish rejection. An intraday sell entry was suggested. T/P levels located at 1.1150 and 1.1050 were already reached.

A bearish breakdown of the depicted uptrend has been executed on October 23. This enhanced a long-term bearish scenario with targets projected at 1.0800 and 1.0600.

Two weeks ago, daily persistence below the level of 1.0990 exposed the next demand level around 1.0850 where prominent bottoms were previously established in May, July, and August.

This week, daily persistence below the level of 1.0800 (Recent Supply Level) is needed to maintain enough bearish momentum towards 1.0650 and 1.0530 (prominent monthly low).

A valid sell entry can be offered around the level of 1.0850 if bullish correction extends above 1.0700 (Friday's lowest price level).

On the other hand, bearish persistence below 1.0700 (depicted key level) allows further bearish decline towards the next demand level of 1.0600.

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For detail explanation and best discovery on daily market trends and news you may visit via Intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for EUR/USD for November 18, 2015 . Thanks for your support.

Daily analysis of Silver for November 18, 2015 Market Analysis Review

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Overview

The silver price showed negative trading yesterday. Our first main target is at 13.96. We expect a stronger decline on an intraday and short-term bases supported by the negative pressure by the EMA50. Breaking the mentioned level will extend the bearish wave to 13.50 followed by 13.00. Therefore, the bearish trend scenario will remain valid and active for the upcoming period unless we witnessed a clear breach and holding with a daily close above 14.85. Breaking the mentioned level will open the way towards 13.50 then 13.00, conditioned by holding below the 14.85 level.

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For detail explanation and best discovery on daily market trends and news you may visit via Daily analysis of Silver for November 18, 2015 . Thanks for your support.

Daily analysis of GBP/JPY for November 18, 2015 Market Analysis Review

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Overview

The outlook for the GBP/JPY pair did not change. A price action from 180.36 is viewed as a consolidation pattern with a choppy rise from 180.64 as the third leg. Strong resistance is expected at 188.28 to limit the upside and finish the consolidation. Movements below the 184.25 support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 180.36 first. A break of 180.36 will extend the whole fall from 195.86 and should then target a test at the 174.86 key support level. GBP/JPY was close to the key cluster resistance of 61.8% retracement of 251.09 to 116.83 at 199.80, which is close to the 200 psychological level. A break of 174.86 will confirm a trend reversal and bring a deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 116.83 to 195.86 at 165.67. In case of another rise, we will be cautious about strong resistance from 199.80/200.00 to bring the reversal finally.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 187.07; (P) 187.53; (R1) 188.20

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Gold : analysis for November 18 , 2015 Market Analysis Review

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Overview:

Since our last analysis, gold has been trading downwards. The price tested the level of $1,064.70. According to the daily time frame, I found a strong downward bar in a high volume. Our strong support around the level of $1,075.00-$1,080.00 became strong resistance (changing polarity) now. According to the M5 time frame, I found a volume spike on an up bar (buying climax) in the background and potential intraday distribution trading range. Selling opportunities are preferable. Support level is found at $1,064.50.

Daily Fibonacci pivot points:

Resistance levels

R1: 1,079.00

R2: 1,084.00

R3: 1,091.60

Support levels:

S1: 1,064.85

S2: 1,060.50

S3: 1,052.80

Trading recommendations: Be careful when buying gold since the price has broke our major support level. Watch for potential selling opporutnities.

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For detail explanation and best discovery on daily market trends and news you may visit via Gold : analysis for November 18 , 2015 . Thanks for your support.

EUR/NZD analysis for November 18, 2015 Market Analysis Review

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Overview:

Recently, EUR/NZD has been moving sideways around the price of 1.6470. I am waiting for larger activity and stronger price action. The short-term trend is still neutral, but the intraday trend is upward. Be careful when selling EUR/NZD before a breakout of the key support level takes place. In the the daily time frame, we can see a weak supply bar in an average volume. A high-volume breakout at the level of 1.6590 will confirm further upward movements. I found a point of control from yesterday (high volume area) around the price of 1.6460-1.6500. I placed Fibonacci retracement to find potential resistance levels and got Fibonacci retracement 38.2% at the level of 1.6860, Fibonacci retracement 50% at the level of 1.7080 and Fibonacci retracement 61.8% at the level of 1.7295. According to the M30, I found supportive nature of volume and intraday upward behavior. So, be careful when selling at this stage because we may see potential recovery in the euro. Anyway, the strong support at 1.6150 may become the strong resistance once it gets broken.

Fibonacci Pivot Points :

Resistance levels:

R1: 1.6500

R2: 1.6520

R3: 1.6550

Support levels:

S1: 1.6440

S2: 1.6420

S3: 1.6390

Trading recommendations: Selling looks risky at this stage so watch for potential buying opportunities on an intraday basis. Selling opportunities are preferable only if the price breaks the level of 1.6150.

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For detail explanation and best discovery on daily market trends and news you may visit via EUR/NZD analysis for November 18, 2015 . Thanks for your support.

Global macro overview for 18/11/2015 Market Analysis Review

Global macro overview for 18/11/2015:

The API crude inventories data was released yesterday and it crushed the market expectations. The draw of -482k barrels was way below the market participants expectations of 1,800k barrels. The price of the crude oil stubbornly trades above the $40 level despite the global supply glut. Even the recent French and US airstrikes in Syria did not affect the crude oil price much, but it is maybe too soon to draw any important conclusions.

After the yesterday inside bar candlestick formation, the crude oil is still trading within a typical daily range. The next support is seen at the level of 40.08 and the next resistance is seen at the level of 42.58.

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Technical analysis of USD/CAD for November 18, 2015 Market Analysis Review

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Overview:

The USD/CAD pair is still moving between 1.3217 and 1.3382. The resistance has been set at the prices of 1.3382 and 1.3456. Therefore, it will be very profitable to sell below the price of 1.3382, which represents the ratio of 88.2% Fibonacci retracement levels with the first target at 1.3264. Then, it will continue towards 1.3217 in order to test this strong support (61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels). On the other hand, if the trend fails to close below the support of 1.3217/1.3200, buy above the price of 1.3200 with a target at 1.3322, then at the price of 1.3390 in order to test the strong resistance.

Notes:

  • The key level is at 1.3322 (pivot).
  • We expect a range of 93 pips in coming hours.
  • The weekly double top is at 1.3456
  • History will probably repeat itself at this level again.
  • Please check out the market volatility before investing because the sight price may have already been reached and scenarios might have become invalidated.
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Technical analysis of USD/JPY for November 18, 2015 Market Analysis Review

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USD/JPY is expected to trade with a bullish bias. The US indices closed mixed on Tuesday. Shares in the Food & Staples Retailing, Semiconductor & Semiconductor Equipment, and Retailing sectors traded higher, while shares in the Utilities, Energy and Consumer Durables & Apparel sectors got under pressure. The DJIA gained 6.49 points (less than 0.1%) to 17489.50. The S&P 500 declined 2.75 points (0.1%) to 2050.44. The Nasdaq Composite climbed 1.4 points (less than 0.1%) to 4986.01. On the economic data front, the US CPI increased 0.2% MoM in Oct following a 0.2% decline a month before. Industrial production decreased 0.2% in Oct same as last month, while economists had expected a gain of 0.1%. The US dollar reached a new seven-month high against the euro after the data release. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note slipped to 2.626% from 2.273% on Monday. US-traded crude oil fell 2.6% to $40.67 a barrel. Gold prices tumbled 1.39% to $1068.50, posting the lowest level in more than five years.The pair is trading above its rising 20-period and 50-period moving averages, which act as support and maintain the upside bias. Furthermore, the relative strength index is above its neutrality level of 50 lacking downward momentum. In addition, a support base was formed around 123, which should limit the downside potential. As long as this level is not broken, look for a further upside with targets at 123.60 and even 124.00.

Trading recommendations:

The pair is trading above its pivot point. It is likely to trade in a wider range as long as it remains above its pivot point. As long as the price holds above its pivot point, long positions are recommended with the first target at 123.60 and the second target at 124.00. In the alternative scenario, short positions are recommended with the first target at 122.60 if the price moves below its pivot points. A break of this target is likely to push the pair further downwards, and one may expect the second target at 122.30. The pivot point is at 122.90.

Resistance levels: 123.60 124 124.45

Support levels: 122.60 122.30 121.60

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Global macro overview for 18/11/2015 Market Analysis Review

Global macro overview for 18/11/2015:

The FOMC meeting minutes are scheduled for release at 7:00 pm GMT and are the most expected macroeconomic event for today as they may cast some light on the central bank's intentions in December. The latest statement was far more hawkish than the markets had anticipated and it send quite a clear message about a possible short-term interest rate hike this year in December. Two weeks after, the NFP report beat all expectations, which satisfied Fed policy makers for sure. Today's Fed minutes might reveal how strong the rate hike consensus is among policy makers as the December rate hike has gone from 35% chances before last months statement to 64% chances now.

The EUR/USD pair is still trading quietly inside the black channel, but it did not manage to close above the 1.0678 resistance level. Only a sustained breakout above the grey rectangle might be considered bullish.

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Technical analysis of AUD/USD for November 18, 2015 Market Analysis Review

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Overview:

The AUD/USD pair had a breakdown and fell further to as low as 0.7100 yesterday. It has opened at 0.7106 today and the price was placed below 50% of Fibonacci retracement levels. Additionally, the price formed a strong resistance at the level of 0.7158. Furthermore, this strong level has still been moving between 50% of Fibonacci retracement levels and 23.6% on the H4 chart. Accordingly, the market is likely to start showing the signs of a bearish market again in order to indicate a bearish opportunity in the short term from the 0.7158 level with a target towards the strong support around 0.7041 in coming hours. Meanwhile, bulls will be forced to pull back above the level of 0.7041. Thus, this level will act as a spot to buy in the short term for correction. Therefore, it will be a good idea to buy above 0.7041 with a target at the price of 0.7133 and it might resume to the 0.7160 price in order to form a double top.

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Technical analysis of EUR/JPY for November 18, 2015 Market Analysis Review

General overview for 18/11/2015 11:05 CET

The market still trades inside the bearish zone, but any new dip is being bought back up. The current wave development is very choppy and full of false breakouts. Nevertheless, first bullish breakout confirmation comes with the breakout of the intraday resistance at the level of 132.19 with the target at the level of 132.80. On the other hand, the bearish breakout confirmation comes with the violation of the 131.11 level with the target at the level of 130.69.

Support/Resistance:

130.44 - WS1

131.48 - Intraday Support

131.81 - Weekly Pivot

132.20 - Intraday Resistance

132.36 - WR1

Trading recommendations:

Day traders should place buy orders at the current levels with SL below the level of 131.11 and TP, which is open now.

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Technical analysis of USD/CAD for November 18, 2015 Market Analysis Review

General overview for 18/11/2015 10:55 CET

The ending diagonal structure for wave c green of alt -v- blue looks completed and now the market starts to unfold another wave progression to the downside. The key level for this structure is intraday support at the level of 1.3269 as any breakout lower will directly expose the low of the old wave b green for a test at the level of 1.3222. Please notice the trend change from bullish to bearish is valid only when the market moves below the level of 1.3036.

Support/Resistnace:

1.3375 - WR1

1.3368 - Intraday Resistance

1.3298 - Weekly Pivot

1.3266 - Intraday Support

1.3250 - WS1

1.3222 - Wave b Bottom

Trading recommendations:

Daytraders should consider opening sell orders from current market levels with SL above the level of 1.3368 and TP at the level of 1.3266.

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Technical analysis of USD/CHF for November 18, 2015 Market Analysis Review

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USD/CHF is expected to trade in a higher range as it is supported by a rising trend line. Currently trading at 1.0147, the pair is positively oriented being backed by its ascending trend line. The process of reaching higher highs and lows remains intact, and the 20-period and 50-period moving averages are headed to the upside. They should also prevent any attempts to break downwards. To sum up, as long as 1.0120 (our trailing stop loss) is not broken, the pair is likely to advance to 1.0175 & 1.0210 in coming trading hours.

Trading recommendations:

The pair is trading above its pivot point. It is likely to trade in a wider range as long as it remains above its pivot point. As long as the price holds above its pivot point, long positions are recommended with the first target at 1.0175 and the second target at 1.0200. In the alternative scenario, short positions are recommended with the first target at 1.0075if the price moves below its pivot points. A break of this target is likely to push the pair further downwards, and one may expect the second target at 1.0040. The pivot point is at 1.0120.

Resistance levels: 1.0175 1.0200 1.0275

Support levels: 1.0075 1.0040 0.9990

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Technical analysis of NZD/USD for November 18, 2015 Market Analysis Review

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NZD/USD is expected to trade with a bearish bias. The pair remains under pressure below its nearest resistance at 0.65 challenging its major support at 0.6445. The risk of a breakout below this threshold remains high as the intraday 20-period and 50-period moving averages are heading downwards, and should call for a new decline. Hence, as long as 0.65 holds on the upside, a further drop towards 0.6420 seems to be on the cards.

Trading recommendations:

The pair is trading below its pivot point. It is likely to trade in a lower range as long as it remains below the pivot point. Short positions are recommended with the first target at 0.6445. A break of that target will move the pair further downwards to 0.6420. The pivot point stands at 0.6500. In case the price moves in the opposite direction and bounces back from the support level, it will move above its pivot point. It is likely to move further to the upside. According to that scenario, long positions are recommended with the first target at 0.6545 and the second target at 0.6575.

Resistance levels: 0.6545 0.6575 0.6590 Support levels: 0.6445 0.6420 0.6370

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Technical analysis of GBP/JPY for November 18, 2015 Market Analysis Review

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The GBP/JPY pair is expected to trade with a bullish bias. A support base at 131.20 was formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilization. The pair is expected to post a rebound as the intraday relative strength index is mixed to bullish. The further upside is therefore expected with the next horizontal resistance and overlap set at 188 at first. A breakout above this level would call for further advance towards 188.40.The

Trading recommendations:

The pair is trading above its pivot point. It is likely to trade in a wider range as long as it remains above its pivot point. As long as the price holds above its pivot point, long positions are recommended with the first target at 188 and the second target at 188.40. In the alternative scenario, short positions are recommended with the first target at 186.50 if the price moves below its pivot points. A break of this target is likely to push the pair further downwards, and one may expect the second target at 185.95. The pivot point is at 186.90.

Resistance levels: 188 188.40 189

Support levels: 186.50 185.95 185.30

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USDX technical analysis for November 18, 2015 Market Analysis Review

The US dollar index remains in a bullish trend but it is very fragile. There are many signs that a reversal could start any time soon, so it is preferred for bulls to raise their stops and protect their profits.

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Blue lines - bullish channel

The US dollar index is trading inside a bullish channel and is above the daily cloud. Daily support is found at 98.80 and next one at 96.77. So, a daily close below 98.80 will open the way to a short-term correction lower. Crucial support for bulls is seen at 93.80.

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The weekly chart shows that this week's candle is testing the important resistance area around the previous highs. A new higher high is very probable but bulls should be cautious and protect their positions by raising their stops. The trend is bullish, but there are also signs that we must be cautious.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

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Gold technical analysis for November 18, 2015 Market Analysis Review

Gold price hit a new low yesterday and remained in a short- and long-term bearish trend. Prices are moving towards lower lows and lower highs. However, the risk reward for going short at these levels is not favorable. It is preferred to stay neutral and wait for the buy signal. Gold is near its end of the bear market.

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Blue lines - bearish channel

Red line - resistance

Gold price is trading inside the bearish channel and below the Ichimoku cloud in the four-hour chart. A stochastic oscillator is at the oversold levels providing a bullish divergence, so a bounce towards resistance of $1,090-$1,100 is justified. Downward targets are seen at $1,045 plus or minus 10$.

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Blue lines - bearish channel

The weekly chart above shows gold price remains in a long-term bearish trend. The price is below the weekly cloud and tenkan- and kijun-sen indicators. The trend is clearly bearish with the lower channel boundary near $1,045. However, stochastics are entering the oversold levels. Once we see the stochastic turning upwards and moving above 20, we should be ready for a strong bounce. This is expected to come within the next 2 weeks.

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Technical analysis of GBP/CHF for November 18, 2015 Market Analysis Review

Technical outlook and chart setups:

The GBP/CHF pair might have finally reached an intermediate high at 1.5470 reversing lower. The pair is already overdue for a corrective drop towards 1.4900 before the rally could resume further. Moreover, there is a pin-bar candlestick pattern as well on the H4 chart followed by a potential engulfing bearish underway now. The aggressive trade setup would be to go short with risk at 1.5500. A conservative way would be to remain flat now. Immediate interim resistance is seen at 1.5470, while support is seen at 1.5350.

Trading recommendations:

Aggressive: Stay short with stop at 1.5500, a target is at 1.4900

Conservative: stay flat.

Good luck!

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