Thursday 29 November 2012

Fundamental Analysis For November 29, 2012 Trend News

There is probability that an agreement between Democrats and Republicans in the United States before the end of the year will be generated, thereby avoiding a fiscal disaster, it is giving confidence to the markets worldwide.


This renewed climate of optimism was on Wednesday, with the main actions of Wall Street growing in good shape and giving major stock indexes move higher.


These movements were reflected in the prices of major currencies, which led by the euro, and were rapidly gaining strength from noon New York yesterday.


In this context the euro again is about 1.30, near 1.3007, the highest of the week so far, which can be overcome in the coming hours. If this happens, 1.3030 and 1.3055 are the next upside targets to consider.


The pound which presented all year rally is much attenuated that the euro remains a moderate upward trend against the dollar, up from 1.60. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar was strengthened by an unexpected and sharp drop in oil inventories in the United States.


The data to follow during the American session is Weekly unemployment claims and the second of three measures of GDP in the third quarter, neither of reports generated significant impact on prices. At 10:00 pending home sales data is published with a highly attenuated effect on currency prices.


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Silver Bounces Off The Trendline Support. Buying On Dips Recommended. 32.80 Should Hold Trend News



Technical Outlook and Chart Setups:


As depicted on the 4H Chart here, yesterday the metal pulled back sharply but bounced off right at the trendline support. It is safe to assume that the structure remains intact and recommendation is to buy on dips towards 33.30/40 levels. Resistance remains at 35.10/20 levels while support is at 32.00. Please again note that 32.00 remains key for trend to remain intact. Till the time the prices stay above 32.00, the metal is expected to stay higher and print higher highs. Looking higher from here on.


Trading Recommendations:


Buy on dips towards 33.30/40 levels, stop below 32.00, and target is open.


Good Luck!


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Gold Threatning To Break Down Further. 1,705.00 Remains Key Trend News


Technical Outlook and Chart Setups:


As depicted here, the 1,700.00/1,705.00 area is the key support zone; a break lower will confirm that the rally from 1,672.00 to 1,755.00 was just a correction within the larger down wave structure. In that case 1,630.00 will be the possible downside extension where a bounce higher can be expected. On the other side, if 1,700.00 holds good, and a bullish reaction appears on higher timeframes, it will be concluded that bullish structure remains intact and higher levels can be expected. Intermediary resistance is at 1,755 while support is at 1,700.


Trading Recommendations:


Flat for now. We shall wait for one more session at least to conclude a trade possibility.


Good Luck!


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EurJpy Pullback Stalling At 0.618 Resistance Trend News


Technical Outlook and Chart Setups:


The 4H chart view is depicted here and 107.00 resistance level still holds good. At the moment it can be considered that prices are stalling out at the 0.618 resistance at 106.30 level. It is still recommended to go short and hold on positions taken earlier. As depicted on chart, measured downside extensions are around 104.75 and 104.25. Resistance remains at 107.20/30 level, followed by 108.00 while support will be offered by 104.00 level, followed by 103.00 and 100.50 respectively. Looking lower from here on.


Trading Recommendations:


Remain short from positions taken earlier, build further short positions now, stop around 107.50, and target is at 104.50.


Good Luck!


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GbpChf Looks Constructive Above 1.4800 Trend News


Technical Outlook and Chart Setups:


As it was discussed earlier, the single currency pair is stalling at Fibonacci 0.786 support level just shy of 1.4800 support. It is recommended to stay long and also buy intraday dips as close to 1.48 level for an extended rally. Support levels are still defined by 1.4800 immediately, followed by 1.4700 and 1.4600. Resistance levels are defined by 1.5050, 1.5150, and further up. On the flip side, a break of 1.4800 level is critical and lower levels will be seen from there on.


Trading Recommendations:


Long for now, stop is at 1.4800, and target is open. Please reverse trade on a break of 1.4800.


Good Luck!


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