Elliott Wave Analysis of EUR/NZD for October 16, 2013 Trend News

Today's Support and Resistance levels:

R3: 1.6239

R2: 1.6193

R1: 1.6149

Current Spot: 1.6107

S1: 1.6068

S2: 1.6036

S3: 1.5996

Technical summary:

With the break below the support at 1.6072 the last piece of doubt for the new more bearish count was eliminated. In the short term we are now looking for minor resistance at the 1.6183-1.6193 zone to protect the upside for a break below 1.6068 confirming continuation lower towards 1.6050 and likely even lower towards 1.6018, before the next consolidation is seen. In the longer term we are looking for a decline towards 1.5872 as the ideal target for wave C from 1.7274.

Trading recommendation:

Stay short in EUR from 1.6255 and keep your stop at 1.6200 and take profit + revers (buy EUR) at 1.5890.

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#USDX Analysis for October 15, 2013 Trend News

Although the dollar index has overlapped the wave 1 high and canceled the wave 4 count, we now turn to another bullish alternative that implies that another wave 1 and 2 are finished, but they are of lower degree. The bullish potential of this wave count is even bigger than the previous wave count.

The blue upward sloping trendline was held and support did not break. This is a good sign for our bullish wave count and we believe that the trend is reversing upwards not only for the short term, but also for the longer term as long as prices do not fall below wave 2 (79.85).

The daily chart continues to show the short-term trend change, but it is too early to say anything about a trend change in the longer term. We remain slightly bullish favored as this could be a trend reversal for a larger scale move of the Dollar index towards 85.

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Gold Elliott wave analysis for October 15, 2013 Trend News

Gold is moving downwards in an impulsive pattern. We mentioned yesterday that prices were back testing the broken support neckline and that soon selling pressures would come back. The upward move from 1,264 to 1,289 was corrective as explained yesterday as the overlapping pattern suggested so.

Today new lows are made towards 1,258 as expected. The trend remains downward and support levels are broken both in short and longer term. The short-term support is now found at 1,252 and 1,230. The short-term resistance is now found at 1,274 and 1,290.

We remain bearish biased towards 1,200-1,150, as per the H&S pattern explained in the previous posts. We remain bearish as long as prices continue to make lower lows and lower highs and as long as the downward sloping trendline is not broken upwards.

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