Friday 30 November 2012

Fundamental Analysis For November 30, 2012 Trend News

Data on Japan is publishes today. Japan’s factory output in October unexpectedly increased 1.8% from the previous month, when it dropped 4.1%. According to statistics bureau, consumer prices excluding fresh food were unchanged from a year earlier. The nation’s jobless rate has not changed from the previous month, the reading is 4.2%.

The retail inflation rate was zero, prompting speculation that the Bank of Japan will expand stimulus plans of the local economy, which is endorsed by the opposition candidate Shinzu Abe, who is emerging as the new Japanese leader for December elections.

The decline of the yen along with the rise of the European currencies shot the yen pairs in the upward direction in the last hours.

The single currency reached 1.3014 and the pound, 1.6017. The Australian dollar appears very bearish in the 4 hours chart against the dollar, with a figure of aiming turnaround lies in the area of 1.0370.

As for the day's data, the unemployment rate in the euro-zone remains at 11.7%, high. The figures are much higher in countries like Spain and Greece, far exceeding the 20%.


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EUR/USD Sell Bellow 1.3030 - For November 30, 2012 (Daily Strategy) Trend News

This morning the EUR/USD pair carried out a maximum of 1.3027, the maximum of four weeks. At this time this fall is due to general uncertainty in Europe, German lawmakers are deciding whether to approve the rescue plan for Greece, Schaeuble said that failure of Greece could lead to the disintegration of the European Union. The rescue is likely to be approved before 13 December. However, it is not be enough to alleviate concerns.


On a technical level the pair is an uptrend, although it is very exhausted and we expect a corrective movement. If the pair does not exceed the maximum today, below 1.2984, the bearish movement could extend to 1.2965, which is key level. There will be more downside to 1.2830 (61.8%) below this level.

Therefore, you can sell at current levels or sell again if there is a pullback to 1.3020. Place stop loss above 1.3060, weekly resistance.



If you need personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com


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GBP/USD Sell Bellow 1.6060 - For November 30, 2012 (Daily Strategy) Trend News

The British pound has managed to reach the level of 1.6060, the key to sell deals level which we mentioned yesterday. If you are following my analysis, we entered sale this morning, at the level of 1.6057. However, this level is below the downtrend line. Currently it is trading at 1.6034, so we recommend selling at current price levels with objectives to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of at the level of 1.5910. In case there is a return to the 1.6057 level again, we recommend selling tightly, waiting for a correction in the short term.




The fact that the pound is above the 200 day moving average periods adds bullish strength for the pair, which we expect will reach the level of 1.61 and 1.63 in the medium term. So reversals of this pair meant opportunities to buy the pound.




If you need personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com


If you like my technical analysis, please vote for me, in the portal MT5.com, please login and then vote for me. Thanks.


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EurJpy Threatening To Break Higher. 108.00 Is Resistance Trend News


Technical Outlook and Chart Setups:


The single currency pair rose past the 107.00 level threatening a break higher. At the moment it will be considered as a test and it is recommended to initiate short positions. The risk/reward ratio is good at the moment. Resistance is at 108.00 level, while intermediary support is at 105.20/30 levels followed by 104.00, 103.00, and 100.50. As it is depicted on the chart, at least 104.50 level should be expected in the short term; 108.00 should hold well.


Trading Recommendations:


Hold on to short positions taken earlier, build further short positions, move stop loss from 107.50 level to 108.00 (50 pips higher), and target is at 104.50.


Good Luck!


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GbpChf Rally To Materialize Soon. 1.4800 Remains Key Support Though Trend News


Technical Outlook and Chart Setups:


Structure has remained unchanged since last 3 trading sessions. Smaller timeframes are hinting at a possible bullish reversal/pullback; bottom line is that 1.4800 level should hold. Therefore, it is recommended to buy intraday dips towards/as close to 1.4800/30 levels. Intermediary support as earlier remains at 1.4800 followed by 1.47 as a stronger one, while resistance remains lined up from 1.5050 through 1.5150 and 1.5200. If this rally materializes, the expected targets on higher sides are 1.5300. Looking higher for now.


Trading Recommendations:


Hold on to long positions taken earlier. Further add on dips, stop is at 1.4800, and target is open.


Good Luck!


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