AUD/USD Elliott Wave
Since our last analysis the AUD/USD pair was trading in a sideways move, impulsive wave 1 and corrective wave 2 (coloured blue) of the bigger wave (3) (coloured green) is developing. During the Friday's Asian session we could observe descending movement towards the 1.0305 level and we can consider this move as the end of the wave 1 (coloured blue). Therefore, during the European and New York sessions this currency pair did not manage to hold this level and price reached a new daily high at 1.0385 level. We can consider this move as the end of the wave 2 (coloured blue). The AUD/USD pair is trading around 1.0347 level at the moment and we are expecting to see continuation of the bearish mood for the next few days. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 3 should retrace 161.8% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with measuring wave 1 with take profit 1 at 1.0294 (100% of wave 1) and take profit 2 at 1.0237 (161.8% of wave 1). To reduce the risk, we can use invalidation at 1.0385 level as stop loss.
Support and Resistance
(S3) 1.0274 (S2) 1.0304 (S1) 1.0323 (PP) 1.0354 (R1) 1.0384 (R2) 1.0403 (R3) 1.0434
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why short positions at level 1.0340 with stop loss 1.0385, take profit 1 at 1.0294, and take profit 2 at 1.0237 are recommended.
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