The Dollar index remains under pressure. Prices are sliding lower as the trend remains downward. Prices have fallen slightly below support of the 61,8% Fibonacci retracement. The bullish scenario that is expecting a trend reversal is losing its chances to success, the deeper downward move. The bullish scenario will be canceled if prices break below 79.
Bulls will first need to break above the downward sloping wedge and the MA with the negative slope. Resistance is found at 80.05 and 80.20. This short-term resistance should be broken to have the first positive signal. In the chart below, however, the dollar index will face a bigger resistance area that should be broken, in order for the trend to reverse. In the chart below, you see the resistance area as a red rectangle.
Prices are trading in a longer-term downward sloping channel and need to break above the red area for bulls to have a longer-term hope. Otherwise, if the trend continues like this and the blue MA crosses and the red MA, we could be in for an ugly surprise for bulls with new lower lows near the Christmas period. Taper or no taper talk during mid December by the Fed will surely play its role and bring a lot of volatility. We prefer being neutral and waiting for a strong signal to take a position, with a small favor to the bullish side.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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