Friday 23 August 2013

#USDX Analysis for August 23, 2013 Trend News

The Dollar strength was yesterday's main characteristic as prices after breaking above the 81.25-35 resistance moved towards our first target of 81.70-80. Prices now find themselves challenging the important resistance at the 82 price level. Breaking above this resistance will decide if the intermediat term trend will change to up or remain down.



The price will need to break out and above the sideways huge triangle that is being formed as shown in the hourly chart above. Prices need to break above 82 in order for the longer term trend to change to up. The price pattern still remains bearish as the sequence of lower lows and lower highs remains. This will change if prices break the 82 resistance.



In the daily chart we can very easily recognise the downward trend that puts pressure to prices. The downward sloping trend line places resistance at the 82 price level. Concluding, the price will need to break above 82 in order for trend to change. Despite the recent strong bounce from 80.75 to 81.72, the Dollar index could fall to new lows if prices get rejected at the trend line once again. As long as we stay below the trend line we are bearish or neutral. Breaking above will make us bullish biased.


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Gold Elliott wave analysis for August 23, 2013 Trend News

Gold has continued to rise upwards steadily towards 1,380 in order to test the resistance and previous high at 1,382. Since it has reached thus far, we believe it is only a matter of time that prices will break to new highs and may even reach the 1,400 price level. We were bullish from yesterday at the 1,370 level and prices are currently trading at 1,375. The price formation looks impulsive and the higher highs and higher lows confirms that trend is up.



Support is now found at 1,370 and 1,362. Resistance is found at 1,384 and 1,392. Trend is up and our view remains bullish as long as support holds. Prices are bearly trading within the upward sloping channel retaing the upward momentum. We believe a final upward break towards 1,400 will come soon and there are also some wave relationships that may justify an even bigger rise.



If the longer-term resistance at 1,400-1,410 is broke, prices could move towards 1,450 and even 1,550. But until then we have to pay close attention to the current price formation and the support levels at 1,360-70. If these levels are broken we can see prices fall towards 1,310. Concluding we are short term bullish as long as prices hold 1,362 and target 1,390-1,400.


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