NZD/USD is expected to trade with bearish bias after hitting the five-year low of 0.6640 this morning. It is undermined by the increased risk aversion, soft dairy prices, and divergent monetary policy stances of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand and the US Federal Reserve. But NZD/USD losses are tempered by the kiwi demand on the retreating AUD/NZD cross.
Technical comment:
The daily chart is negative-biased as the MACD is bearish, stochastics stays suppressed at oversold levels, five and 15-day moving averages are declining.
Trading recommendations:
The pair is trading below its pivot point. It is likely to trade in a lower range as long as it remains below the pivot point. Short positions are recommended with the first target at 0.6660. A break of that target will move the pair further downwards to 0.6630. The pivot point stands at 0.6750. In case the price moves in the opposite direction and bounces back from the support level, it will move above its pivot point. It is likely to mo ve further to the upside. According to that scenario, long positions are recommended with the first target at 0.6780 and the second target at 0.6825.
Resistance levels: 0.6780 0.6825 0.6850
Support levels: 0.6660 0.6630 0.66
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