Daily analysis of major pairs for January 22, 2016 Market Analysis Review

EUR/USD: There is now a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, which means the price could begin to trend further downwards. There is a potential bearish target at the support line of 1.0750, while the resistance line at 1.0950 is a formidable barrier for bulls.

USD/CHF: There is a clear bullish signal on the USD/CHF pair for the price has moved upward. The price moved above the EMA 11, which in its turn is above the EMA 56. The Williams' % Range period 20 is not too far from the overbought region. Since the important market level at 1.0100 is being successfully breached, it might be logical to assume that the price would continue moving northwards.

GBP/USD: The cable has found a strong support around the accumulation territory of 1.4100. The price has been going upwards in the context of a downtrend. As long as the price is below the distribution territory of 1.4400, it will not be safe to open long positions here.

USD/JPY: The USD/JPY pair trended downwards testing the demand level of 116.00 and bounced upwards later. From that demand level, the price has moved upwards by 200 pips, now around the supply area of 118.00. A further upward movement of another 200 pips is likely to result in a new bullish bias on the market.

EUR/JPY: The outlook for this market remains bearish, though there are mixed signals observed. It is better to stay away from this market until there is a directional signal. There may be a breakout today or next week, which would be influenced by the events affecting the euro.

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Global macro overview for 22/01/2016 Market Analysis Review

Global macro overview for 22/01/2016:

In addition to the ECB rate decision, the important data from the US labor market was released yesterday as well, including the unemployment and continuing claims. According to the report of the US Labur Department, initial claims for unemployment benefits in the US surged to 293K (278k expected; 283k prior), which is the highest level in six weeks. Continuing claims slightly decreased to the level of 2208K coming in below the market expectations of 2253K. Nevertheless, please notice that only a sustained increase in unemployment claims will be able to signal some weakness in the US labor market.

The US dollar index is just in the middle of a trading range trying to break out above the recent local high. The next daily support is seen at the level of 97.18 and the next resistance is seen at the level of 99.98.

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Global macro overview for 22/01/2016 Market Analysis Review

Global macro overview for 22/01/2016:

At yesterday's ECB meeting, ECB President Mario Draghi dropped a very clear and deliberate hint that further monetary stimulus are likely at the next meeting scheduled for March. It looks like serious moves are going to be necessary in order to overcome the new deflationary pressure and downside risks arising in the euro area. Nevertheless, please notice that there are still some serious and influential hawkish members of the ECB board, so do not expect too much from the next ECB meeting.

Following dovish statements of Draghi, the EUR/USD pair fell, but managed to bounce back to the pre- ECB levels. Currently, the pair is trading just below the important resistance level of 1.0858.

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Technical analysis of USD/CAD for January 22, 2016 Market Analysis Review

General overview for 22/01/2016:

An alternative count has been added to the scenario in order to indicate the next best count if the main count is invalidated. The invalidation line is seen at the level of 1.4187 ( wave (1) top), so any violation would mean the top for the wave (50 blue and 5 black) might be in place.

Support/Resistance:

1.4835 - WR1

1.4690 - Local High

1.4445 - Weekly Pivot

1.4323 - Intraday Resistance

1.4292 - WS1

1.4226 - Intraday Support

1.4187 - Invalidation Level

Trading recommendations:

Day traders should refrain from trading in this market and wait for a better trading setup to occur.

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Technical analysis of EUR/JPY for January 22, 2016 Market Analysis Review

General overview for 22/01/2016:

The higher time frame counts was updated, yet there are still two wave scenarios for this pair with the very important invalidation line at the level of 126.09. Any breakout below this level would immediately invalidate the main impulsive count and put an alternative count in play. As long as this level is not violated, the base scenario of one more wave to the upside to develop over the next few weeks is still possible (main count). A breakout lower, would mean wave three is in progress and a sell-off is highly possible in this market.

Support/Resistance:

126.37 - WS2

126.84 - WS1

126.78 - Technical Support

127.52 - Intraday Support

127.78 - Weekly Pivot

128.29 - WR1

129.07 - Intraday Resistance

129.25 - WR2

Trading recommendations:

Swing traders might consider placing buy orders from the current market levels with SL below the level of 126.08 and TP open for now.

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USDX technical analysis for January 22, 2016 Market Analysis Review

The US dollar index spiked higher towards 99.80 during the press conference of ECB president Mario Draghi. Mainly because of the weak EUR/USD pair, the index rallied, but got rejected at the upper resistance boundary of a bearish wedge formation I pointed out a couple days ago.

Blue lines - bearish wedge pattern

The index continues to trade above the Ichimoku cloud support of 98.90. The rejection was not a good sign for dollar bulls yesterday, but the fact that sellers did not manage to breakout below the cloud was also not a good sign for bears. The index is trapped inside this wedge pattern, so only in case of a breakout above or below it, things will clear up.

On a daily basis, the price remains above the Ichimoku cloud and this is a positive sign. However, bulls will need to breakout above 100.50 for a new short-term trend to start. Otherwise, they can see the index reversing and pushing lower towards 97. I'm bearish as long as the price is below 100.50.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

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Gold technical analysis for January 22, 2016 Market Analysis Review

Gold price continues to trade around $1,100 without any clear direction despite the fact that it remains inside an upward sloping channel. The level at $1,130 remains our short-term target, while the weekly chart confirms that we should expect another move higher.

Red lines - bullish channel

Green rectangle - target area

Gold price is trading above the - hour Ichimoku cloud. The price is moving towards higher highs and higher lows. A short-term trend is bullish but not in an impulsive form that would imply a longer-term reversal. So, if prices reach $1,130,we should think of taking profits and exiting long positions because a rise from $1,050 could just be a part of a bigger upward correction.

In the weekly chart, gold prices are trapped between the kijun- and tenkan-sen indicators. The support and resistance levels are clearly visible on a weekly basis, so a weekly close above or below them will set the tone for the trend over coming weeks.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

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