Tuesday, 1 September 2015

Technical analysis of USD/CHF for September 1, 2015 Market Analysis Review

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Overview:

  • The USD/CHF pair will set strong resistance at the level of 0.9734 and support at 0.9592 today. Besides, the daily pivot point has been already set at the price of 0.9603. So, the last bullish wave began from the daily pivot point at the level of 0.9603 on the first day of September 2015. Additionally, the price is still moving above the key level (0.9570) since last week. Therefore, the USD/CHF pair will get an upside momentum. It is rather convincing and the structure of ascension does not look corrective. Bullish opportunity is above the 0.9590/0.9603 level. Consequently, it will be a good sign to buy above 0.9590/0.9603 with the first target of 0.9682 and continuing bullish towards 0.9734 (this level is coinciding with the weekly resistance one). Moreover, it should be noted that the RSI calls for an uptrend. On the other hand, stolp loss should be placed below the last bearish wave at 0.9561.
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USDX technical analysis for September 1, 2015 Market Analysis Review

The US Dollar Index is reversing lower as we expected from the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. The index is going to test the cloud support at 94.90-94.70. If this support is broken, we should expect a test of the recent lows at 93.

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The US Dollar Index reverses from the 78.6% retracement. The price is above the Ichimoku cloud and above the kijun-sen indicator (yellow line). Bulls are still alive as bears are trying to regain control in the market. Support is at 94.90 and 94.70. Resistance is at 96.30. A daily close above 96.30 will push the index towards 98.30.

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Red line - resistance

Green line - support

The US Dollar Index got rejected at the kijun-sen this week (yellow indicator) and should move towards the cloud support or even the green trend-line support. The 38% retracement is my target. I remain short-term bearish but without taking my mind away from the bullish flag pattern that is being formed.

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Gold technical analysis for September 1, 2015 Market Analysis Review

Gold prices bounce above short-term support and has most probably started its next upward move towards $1,170 or even higher. Bulls remain in control as long as prices are above $1,125. The short-term trend is bullish.

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Gold prices are testing the Ichimoku cloud resistance today in the 4 hour chart as shown above. The bounce from the 61.8% retracement support is a bullish sign but bulls also need to see a break above the cloud resistance. Support is found at $1,125 and resistance is seen at $1,150.

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The weekly chart still favors bulls in the short- to medium-term as the price holds above the tenkan-sen indicator ( red line) and a break above the kijun-sen (yellow indicator) could push prices towards the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement or even the cloud resistance.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

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Global macro overview for 01/09/2015 Market Analysis Review

Global macro overview for 01/09/2015:

Overnight disappointing data from Asia (Chinese PMI lower than expected at 49.7 v s. 49.8) was not surprising, so the overall investor sentiment is still very negative in regard to the future of the global recovery. The Chinese PMI fell to the lowest levels in three years. The next PMI data for today will be released in the EU countries just before 10:00 GMT (Germany, France, Spain, and total for the EU), and PMI Manufacturing news release from the UK is scheduled at 10:30 GMT as well. Please notice those are revised figures, so traders should not expect a sharp market reaction unless a revision is very significant.

The EUR/USD pair is currently trading back in the congestion zone and is trying to bounce from the 1.1215 daily support level. Next daily resistance comes at the level of 1.1470.

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Global macro overview for 01/09/2015 Market Analysis Review

Global macro overview for 01/09/2015:

Yesterday's market rumor about big shortage in US crude oil inventories were the main reason behind an upward rally of crude up to the level of 49.50. Moreover, there is another rumor that the OPEC meeting could result in production cuts in order to keep crude prices rising. Please notice the rumors might be very short-lived as the report on crude inventories is scheduled for Wednesday 14:30 GMT (-5452K is the expected number).

Nevertheless, the technical picture is quite clear about the possible resistance for crude as it is seen at the level of $50 (50%Fibo) and 53.08 (61%Fibo). Moreover the 55 SMA is currently at the level of 49.63, which make the level of $50 even more stronger and important resistance level.

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Technical analysis of EUR/JPY for September 1, 2015 Market Analysis Review

General overview for 01/09/2015 08:30 CET

The market is trading inside of a narrow range below the weekly pivot at the level of 136.50. The upside scenario is still possible, but first the weekly pivot and the intraday resistance at the level of 136.60 must be clearly violated in an impulsive fashion. Only then, wave (b) blue might hit the projected target at the level of 137.59. Otherwise, the market will continue to consolidate inside the bearish zone.

Support/Resistance:

137.76 - WR1

137.60 - Intraday Resistance

136.60 - Intraday Resistance

136.50 - Weekly Pivot

135.23 - Intraday Support

Trading recommendations:

Daytraders should consider opening buy orders only if the level of 136.60 is clearly violated (hourly candle close above the level) with SL just below the level of 135.23 and TP at the level of 137.60.

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Technical analysis of USD/CAD for September 1, 2015 Market Analysis Review

General overview for 01/09/2015 08:00 CET

An anticipated wave c purple to the upside did not materialize so far, and the market was too weak to breakout above the recent swing high. The count has been adjusted accordingly, showing the prospects of a top for wave X brown or the larger cycle top for wave 5 purple of wave B purple. Please notice, that the top confirmation comes with further decline and breakout below the level of 1.3000.

Support/Resistance:

1.3352 - Wave -v- Top

1.3319 - WR1

1.3229 - Weekly Pivot

1.3196 - Intraday Resistance

1.3115 - Intraday Support

1.3108 - WS1

1.3017 - WS2

Trading recommendations:

Swingtraders should close their long-term buy orders and wait for the further confirmation of a higher-degree corrective cycle.

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