Thursday, 13 November 2014

#USDX Technical analysis for November 13, 2014 Market Analysis Review

The Dollar index is making a sideways triangle consolidation. It is more probable to see a break to the upside and a new higher high. The index remains in a bullish longer-term trend and has formed a bullish flag that targets 91.


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The Dollar index remains inside the upward sloping black channel and is forming a sideways triangle consolidation. The fact that the index is still above the Ichimoku cloud increases the chances of seeing an upward break out rather than a downward break. Resistance is at 88 and if broken we should at least see 88.65 if not higher. Support at 87.60 is critical because if we break it we could see a move lower towards 86.50.


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Blue lines= weekly support levels


The Dollar index as shown above in the weekly chart is following the bullish flag pattern we have noted a couple weeks back. Weekly support is at 86.10. If broken we will push lower towards 84. I believe that if the index reverses lower it will most probably make a bottom around 86 and not move lower towards 84. I remain longer-term bullish and pay close attention to the triangle formation. Triangle formations are usually seen at the end of trends, so the expected new high might reverse any time. Bulls need to be extra cautious if 87.60 breaks.


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Gold Technical analysis for November 13, 2014 Market Analysis Review

Gold price reversed lower on Wednesday towards $1,153 support after breaking short-term support level of $1,159. Short-term trend has changed to bearish as long as price is below $1,171. Next support to watch is at $1,153 and $1,146. Longer-term target of $1,050 remains valid.


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Gold price has made the minimum required upward correction after completing the decline from $1,255 to $1,130. The 38% retracement was reached. Gold price got rejetected at the Ichimoku cloud and this is a bearish sign. However, since price is still inside the cloud bulls are slightly protected. If price falls below the cloud at $1,146 then the bearish trend will get confirmation and Gold price will probably make a new low towards $1,110.


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Red line= resistance


Blue line= support


Short-term resistance is at $1,170 and short-term support at $1,153 and $1,146. Breaking below the two support levels will push the Gold price towards at least $1,110. If resistance is broken, then there is a high probability we see another Gold price spike towards $1,190. My longer-term view remains bearish.


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Technical analysis of EUR/JPY for November 13, 2014 Market Analysis Review


Technical outlook and chart setups:


The EUR/JPY pair is carving a lower top ahead of 144.60 levels as seen here. It is recommended to initiate short positions now (144.06/10), risk remains at 145.00 levels. Resistance is seen at 144.60 (interim), followed by 145.50, while support is seen at 142.00, followed by 140.00 and lower respectively. Please note that the pair is in a retracement mode and it could potentially drop into 139.00/140.00 levels at least before resuming rally. Considering the entire rally from 134.00 levels, potential remains for a 3 wave correction into the 138.50 levels as well.


Trading recommendations:


Initiate short positions now (144.06/10), stop 145.00, the target is open.


Good luck!


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Technical analysis of GBP/CHF for November 13, 2014 Market Analysis Review


Technical outlook and chart setups:


The GBP/CHF pair finally breaks below the 1.5300 mark as it has been discussed earlier. The pair is testing lows at the 1.5200 levels for now. Support is seen at the 1.5120 levels, followed by 1.4975 and lower while resistance is seen at 1.5450/75, followed by the 1.5550 levels respectively. It is recommended to book partial profits on short positions and also reduce risk to break even levels. A break below 1.5200 now, would see 1.5050 levels soon enough. On the flip side, a break above 1.5400/50 levels from here, would confirm that a low is in place and that bulls are back in control.


Trading recommendations:


Book 50% profits on short positions, and move stop to break even levels. The target is open.


Good luck!


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Technical analysis of Silver for November 13, 2014 Market Analysis Review


Technical outlook and chart setups:


Silver has been in a range since yesterday, between $15.55 and $15.75. Resistance is seen at $15.90/16.00, followed by $16.20/40, $17.80/18.00 and higher while support is seen at $15.20/30, followed by $15,00 and lower respectively. A push is required through $16.00 levels to instill further confidence into the upswing. Minimum possibilities remain at $16.40 levels, which is also converging with the fibonacci 0.618 resistance of the fall between $17.30 and $15.00. On the flip side, a break below $15.20 and subsequently $15.00 could be considered to be extremely bearish.


Trading recommendations:


Remain long, stop at $14.75, the target is at least $16.40.


Good luck!


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Technical analysis of Gold for November 13, 2014 Market Analysis Review


Technical outlook and chart setups:


Gold has remained locked in a tight range for the last 24 hours. The metal had bounced off $1,145.00/50.00 levels earlier, indicating that a further push higher remains a possibility. It still needs to clear through $1,180.00 levels, to confirm a $1,207.00 possibility on the higher side. It is recommended to remain long for now, with risk at $1,140.00. Resistance is $1,180.00 (interim), followed by $1,207.00 (fibonacci 0.618), $1,235.00 and higher, while support is seen at $1,145: (interim), followed by $1,130.00 and lower respectively. A break higher from $1,180.00 is required to confirm that bulls are going to stay in control for a while.


Trading recommendations:


Remain long, stop is at at $1,140.00, the target is at $1,207.00.


Good luck!


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Wednesday, 12 November 2014

Technical analysis of USD/CAD for November 13, 2014 Market Analysis Review

General overview for 13/11/2014 06:25 CET


The alternative blue impulsive count has been invalidated due to wave -i- and wave -ii- blue overlaps. Currently, the main count is the best fit so far and this count indicates that the corrective cycle within the wave ii black continues to develop its last wave to the upside. There are three possible levels of termination and at this point it is too early to predict where exactly will the last leg up be finished. Only a new high above the level of 1.1465 would invalidate this view and put the alternative green scenario in play.


Support/Resistance:


1.1464 - Swing High


1.1426 - WR1


1.1400 - Intraday Resistance


1.1358 - Intraday Resistance


1.1344 - Weekly Pivot


1.1323 - Intraday Resistance


1.1279 - Intraday Support


1.1266 - Technical Support


Trading recommendations:


Day traders should consider opening sell orders from the indicated levels with minimal SL in case the levels will be violated. However, the ultimate SL should be placed just above the level of 1.1401.


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