Monday, 28 April 2014

Technical analysis of Gold for April 28, 2014 Trend News


Technical outlook and chart setups:


1. Gold has pulled back sharply towards $1300.00/04.00, after printing lows last week. As seen here, the resistance line is being tested at $1,304.00/05.00 levels; a bullish break out would test $1,330.00 levels. Recommendations are to exit long positions, if any, and remain flat for now.


2. Support is at $1,230.00/40.00, followed by $1,210.00 and lower while resistance is at $1,330.00, followed by $1,388.00 and higher up respectively.


3. The structure indicates that Gold needs to break $1,330.00 levels to confirm further upside. A push lower from current levels could print fresh lows.


Trading recommendations:


Exit long positions if any are opened. Remain flat for now.


Good luck!


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Technical analysis of EUR/JPY for April 28, 2014 Trend News


Technical outlook and chart setups:


1. The EUR/JPY pair is still holding the 141.00 levels as seen here. Please note that a break of 140.00 would confirm that the pair is headed further south. Recommendations are to hold short positions for now, risk remains at 144.00. Only a break above 142.50 and subsequently 143.50 would be favorable for bulls.


2. Support is at 140.00 (intermediary), followed by 138.50, 136.00, 134.00 and lower while resistance is at 143.50, 144.00, 145.50 respectively.


3. The structure indicates that EUR/JPY bears would regain control below 140.00 levels. On the flip side, a break of 143.50 levels would be a concern for bulls.


Trading recommendations:


Remain short for now, stop is at 144.00, target is open.


Good luck!


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Weekly forecast and intraday recommendations of GOLD for April 28-May 02, 2014 Trend News

GOLD weekly forecast


U.S. policymakers have the chance this week to give clearer guidance on the future path of interest rates and settle markets that are uncertain over how and when a hike would occur. The Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee meets from Tuesday to Wednesday. The U.S. central bank is likely to announce a further $10 billion reduction of its monthly bond purchases, but markets will read its Wednesday statement closely for clues to when interest rates might start rising.


Technical view- April 28-May 02


Weekly over view-


The metal has been in a down trend from $1,390 levels, but on a weekly basis it has been in an uptrend. The RSI in the weekly charts speaking some more up steam left. Currently the metal is trading at $1,304 levels in Asia's trading session. As of now, it opened this week on a positive note. It is facing strong resistance at the 50 week SMA. Last week, it touched the 50-week SMA, but unable to close above that. As of now, it crosses the 50 week SMA, but it is unable to sustain above that. This week's key is at 50 week SMA at $1,305. Trades above this level, it will shoot up to $1,310.5, $1,324 and $1,330.0 levels. On the down side, it has weekly support at $1,300 (200SMA), below $1,300 it will drift all the way towards $1,295, $1,285, $1,280 and $1,277. We are completely in a bearish mode once the metal closes below the $1,277 levels on a weekly basis.


Weekly forecast-


We are recommending to go long only above $1,305.5 for targets at $1,310.5, $1,320, $1,324 and $1,330 levels. The bulls will take charge completely only above $1,330, until selling will take place on every rise. On the down side, the weekly support levels exist at $1,300, below this, $1,290 will act as another major support. In the daily chart, the RSI is giving an initial break out towards $1,319 and $1,324. Safe traders can enter longs only above $1,306.60 (April 16 high).


GOLDWeekly.pngGOLDDaily.png

Intraday-


The metal is facing strong resistance at $1,306.60 (April 16 high). As we recommended last Thurday, buy and hold patiently, it paid the price exactly hit our targets $1,305. Today we expect the upside momentum is limited and the metal will go for some correction up to $1,300 and $1,293, cmp $1,305. If the metal sustains above $1,306.60, safe traders can again buy for $1,310, $1,311.60 as intraday targets or even $1,320. Sellers can enter short positions below $1,298 for targets $1,293, $1,291.7, $1,289.50 and $1,282 (break below $1,289.5, then only lower targets will come)


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Intraday recommendations- cmp $1,305.


Risky traders, sell with sl $1,307.


Safe traders, buy above $1,306.60.


joseph.nz@mail2.instafxgroup.com


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Technical analysis of GBP/CHF for April 28, 2014 Trend News


Technical outlook and chart setups:


1. The GBP/CHF pair is trading close to the 1.4800 levels for now.The minimum level of interest to initiate fresh long positions is around 1.4730/50, which is the 0.382 fibonacci retracement of the entire rally from 1.4450 to 1.4900. Recommendations are to remain flat for now and watch for lower levels.


2. Support is at 1.4630, followed by 1.4525, 1.4450, 1.4350 and lower while resistance is at 1.4950 and 1.5120 respectively.


3. The structure indicates that GBP/CHF retracement/pullback could continue till 1.4750 levels. Bulls may regain control from there on to push higher towards 1.4950 levels. On the flip side, a break of 1.4630 would indicate further bearishness.


Trading recommendations:


Remain flat for now.


Good luck!




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Technical analysis of EUR/USD for April 28, 2014 Trend News

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When the European market opens, some economic news will be released such as German Import Prices m/m, German Buba Monthly Report.The US will release the economic data too such as the Pending Home Sales m/m, so amid the reports, EUR/USD will move with low to medium volatility during this day.


TODAY's TECHNICAL LEVELS:

Breakout BUY Level: 1.3905.

Strong Resistance:1.3896.

Original Resistance: 1.3883.

Inner Sell Area: 1.3870.

Target Inner Area: 1.3837.

Inner Buy Area: 1.3804.

Original Support: 1.3791.

Strong Support: 1.3778.

Breakout SELL Level: 1.3769.
DESCRIPTION:

Today EUR/USD has support and resistance at 1.3791 and 1.3883. The rate is accompanied by strong support at 1.3778 and by 1.3896 as strong resistance.

If EUR/USD breaks out and closes below the 1.3769 level today, then it will indicate considerable bearish strength. Meanwhile, if EUR/USD manages to break out and closes above the 1.3905 level, then it will denote high bullish strength. Alternatively, for advance traders, you can trade in a way to open a BUY position at the level of 1.3804 and at 1.3870, a SELL position. In this case both targets should be placed at the level of 1.3837.

Best regards,

Arief Makmur

Official Analyst of InstaForex Group

InstaForex Group http://instaforex.com For more analysis go to: blog.mt5.com/arief Yahoo Messenger & Skype: Arief.ifx_jakarta

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Daily analysis of USDX for April 28, 2014 Trend News

Daily chart: The USDX remains below the resistance level of 80.11 and for now, the USDX is trying to make corrective movements in favor of the bullish bias. However, this could always change as the USDX make a breakout at the support level of 79.50. On the other hand, if the USDX does make a breakout at the level of 80.11, it's expected to rise to the level of 80.62. The MACD indicator is in neutral territory.


usdxdaily.png

H4 chart: The USDX remains below the 200 SMA and the resistance level of 79.93. The bearish outlook could stay alive during this week, as the USDX continues to encounter resistance at the 200 SMA. If the bearish road continues, the USDX could fall to the support level of 79.33. The MACD indicator is in neutral territory.


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H1 chart: The USDX is trying to consolidate above the resistance level of 79.88. However, the bearish bias remains in the USDX, so that the next target would be the support level of 79.64. If the USDX does make a breakout on the resistance level of 79.88, it's expected to rise to the level of 80.15. The MACD indicator is in positive territory.


usdxh1.png


Trading recommendations for today: Based on the H1 chart, place sell (short) orders only if the USD Index breaks with a bearish candlestick; the support level is at 79.64, take profit is at 79.39, and stop loss is at 79.90.


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Daily analysis of GBP/USD for April 28, 2014 Trend News

Daily chart: GBP/USD starts a decisive week as this pair has moved within a low range above the support level of 1.6766. The overall trend is bullish in the GBP/USD, but this could change if the pair manages to support a breakout at that level. On the other hand, if the pair manages to make a breakout at the level of 1.6851, the bullish bias could last for several weeks. The MACD indicator is in the overbought zone.


gbpusddaily.png


H4 chart: This pair has made a bearish rebound at the resistance level of 1.6822 and now, the GBP/USD is trying to find support at the 1.6785 level. However, if the pair manages to make a breakout at that level, it would be expected to fall to a bullish trend line, which is close to the level of 1.6730. The MACD indicator is in negative territory.


gbpusdh4.png


H1 chart: The GBP/USD is trying to stay above the 200-day moving average, but the strength of the bears is increasingly present. However, it is likely that this pair will make a bullish rebound above that level. If successful, it is expected to rise to the resistance level of 1.6800. For now, caution should be exercised when placing sell orders. The MACD indicator is in negative territory.


gbpusdh1.png


Trading recommendations for today: Based on the H1 chart, place buy (long) orders only if the GBP/USD pair breaks a bullish candlestick; the resistance level is at 1.6800, take profit is at 1.6850, and stop loss is at 1.6750.


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