Thursday, 12 December 2013

GBPCHF is testing a support line at 1.4490/1.4500 Trend News


Technical outlook and chart setups:


The currency pair is testing the outer support line in the daily chart view depicted here at 1.4490/1.4500 levels. It is still recommended to initiate long positions with a risk at 1.4400 from here on. The resistance is fixed at 1.4900 levels; while supports are spread through 1.4350, followed by 1.4200 and 1.4050 respectively. The structure reveals that a pullback is due towards 1.4750/1.48 levels, if not higher from here on. On the flip side, if the trend line breaks down, prices would further weaken towards 1.4300 levels. Higher probability trade is to remain long from here on keeping the trend line support.


Trading recommendations:


Remain long, stop at 1.44, target is 1.4750/1.48.


Good luck!


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GBPCHF is testing a support line at 1.4490/1.4500 Trend News


Technical outlook and chart setups:


The currency pair is testing the outer support line in the daily chart view depicted here at 1.4490/1.4500 levels. It is still recommended to initiate long positions with a risk at 1.4400 from here on. The resistance is fixed at 1.4900 levels; while supports are spread through 1.4350, followed by 1.4200 and 1.4050 respectively. The structure reveals that a pullback is due towards 1.4750/1.48 levels, if not higher from here on. On the flip side, if the trend line breaks down, prices would further weaken towards 1.4300 levels. Higher probability trade is to remain long from here on keeping the trend line support.


Trading recommendations:


Remain long, stop at 1.44, target is 1.4750/1.48.


Good luck!


The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com



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Wednesday, 11 December 2013

Elliott wave analysis of EUR/NZD for December 11, 2013 Trend News


Today's Support and Resistance levels:


R3: 167.50


R2: 167.16


R1: 166.61


Current Spot: 1.6626


S1: 1.6584


S2: 1.6550


S3: 1.6516


Technical summary:


We are still looking for green wave iii to push over resistance at 1.6750 confirming that a new powerful rally towards at least 1.7239 is developing. As long as resistance at 1.6750 stays unbroken the bearish alternative count, which comes into play upon a break below 1.6470, it is very much a possible count that we must respect. That said, we will stay focused towards the upside for a break above 1.6661 and more importantly the break above 1.6750 as long as support at 1.6521 protects the downside. A break below 1.6521 will be the first indication, that the alternative count could be in action.


Trading recommendation:


Stay long from 1.6520 and lift your stop to break-even. If you are not long in EUR yet, buy near 1.6590 or upon a break above 1.6750, with the same stop at 1.6520.


The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com



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Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY for December 11, 2013 Trend News


Today's Support and Resistance levels:


R3: 142.82


R2: 142.17


R1: 141.69


Current Spot: 141.36


S1: 140.99


S2: 140.40


S3: 139.96


Technical summary:


Ideally we will see support at 140.99 protecting the downside for a break above 141.69, confirming that the final rally higher towards 142.80 and possibly even higher towards 144.00 if the final wave extends. That said, we are close to the top for the rally of the 94.10 low. Once the top is in place we should be looking for a correction lower towards at least 124.95 and possibly even lower towards 118.72. However, for now we should be focused towards the upside as long as support at 140.99 and more importantly as long as support at 140.00 protect the downside. Only a break below 140.00 will indicate, that wave v of 5 is in place, while a break below 138.42 will confirm the top.


Trading recommendation:


We are looking for a selling opportunity at 143.60 or upon a break below 140.99 (let us say at 140.95).


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EUR/JPY H1 analysis for December 11, 2013 Trend News

General overview for 11/12/2013 07:30 CET


Both yesterday's targets was hit and the market is giving us some first indications of a possible top in place.


The first wave down has been done and now corrective cycle wave (ii) is developing. The first two waves a and b look to be done and there is one more wave missing to the upside to finish the corrective cycle UNLESS the cycle has been finished earlier.


Break below 141.00 as Intraday Support level makes Weekly Pivot prone to test. If Weekly Pivot is broken - this is the first weak top confirmation.


Support/Resistance:


142.15 - Swing High | Intrday Resistance |


141.74 - Intraday Resistance


141.00 - Intraday Support


140.70 - Weekly Pivot


Trading recommendations:


Sell the Intraday Resistance level at 141.74 with SL above 141.15 and TP at 141.00



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Tuesday, 10 December 2013

Gold analysis for December 10, 2013 Trend News

Gold prices broke yesterday the downward sloping resistance trend line. Prices have most probably ended the downward move from 1,360 with a wave 5 failure (failed to produce new lows). Now our favorite scenario is that we should at least retrace the 38% of the decline from 1,360.



So as long as prices trade above 1,209, we could expect prices to reach at least 1,270, where the 38% Fibonacci retracement is. Short-term resistance is found at 1,250-58 and breaking above this level will confirm that the downward move is complete. The alternative wave scenario we have implies that prices are still within their 4th wave of bigger degree and we should expect a new low.



The more prices delay to break above 1,250-58 resistance the more possible the alternative scenario is. The more time it takes for prices to break above resistance, the more chances we have of being in wave 4 and to see new lower lows towards 1,180.


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Silver resistance between 20.50 and 21.50. Remain flat for now Trend News


Technical outlook and chart setups:


The metal is attempting a possible pullback/recovery for now. Resistance begins from 20.50/21.00 levels (which was past support), followed by 22.00 (channel resistance line), 23.00 and 25.00; while support is at sub 18.00 levels, and lower. It is recommended to refrain from buying at current levels and remain flat. The entire structure reveals that the channel resistance line needs to be broken and 23.00 level resistance taken out before it can be confirmed that a reversal is taking place. Until this event happens, the strategy should be selling rallies for target below 18.00 levels.


Trading recommendations:


Flat for now.


Good luck!


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