Friday, 15 November 2013

EURJPY is ready to fall now. Initiate short positions. 135.70/80 is resistance Trend News


Technical outlook and chart setups:


The currency pair has rallied after trading just shy of the 131.00 levels, as expected earlier. It is now recommended to exit long positions taken earlier, and initiate aggressive short positions at the current levels. Resistance is the 135.70 levels; while intermediary support begins from 133.30, followed by 131.00, 129.00 and lower. The overall structure might be unfolding as a possible head-and-shoulder pattern; the right shoulder is in formation at the current levels. If this prediction turns true, the downside extensions are 129.50 and 128.50 respectively as highlighted here. Only a break above 135.50 would nullify the bearish outlook here.


Trading recommendations:


Exit long positions. Enter short at 134.60/70, stop is at 135.90, target is at 128.50.


Good luck!


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GBPCHF rallies after pullback. 1.4550 is intermediary support Trend News


Technical outlook and chart setups:


The currency pair has bounced off again, after pulling back towards the 1.4550 levels recently, as expected and discussed. It is still recommended to hold the remaining long positions and reduce risk to the 1.4550 levels. Intermediary support is at 1.4550, followed by 1.4400, then 1.4200, 1.4075 and lower; while resistance is at 1.48, followed by 1.5 and higher. The extensions are pointing towards 1.4920/30 from here on. Also the fibonacci 0.618 retracement of the entire fall from the 1.54 to 1.4 levels is pointing towards 1.49. We would wait for a bearish reaction to materialize around the 1.49 area and look to initiate short positions there.


Trading recommendations:


Hold on to long positions, stop is at 1.45, target is at 1.49.


Good luck!


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Thursday, 14 November 2013

USD/CAD intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for November 14, 2013 Trend News


Four months ago, a prominent bottom was established around 1.0260. This happened after the pair found strong bearish pressure around 1.0555-1.0600, this was followed by intensive bearish momentum that led to 1.0254.


An important key level was located around 1.0505. This was the key level for the previous weeks' movement as the re-closure below it enabled the pair to break down 1.0455 as well, where the lower limit of the depicted consolidation range was located.


The nearest support zone is located around 1.0250. On September 19, the pair expressed a false breakdown reaching 1.0180 where obvious bullish rejection was expressed to get the pair back above 1.0250 again on Thursday, resulting in a bullish hammer weekly candlestick. Since then, the pair has been consolidating within narrow range between 1.0260-1.0340, until we had a bullish breakout at the daily closure of October 8.


As Expected, bullish momentum was expressed at retesting of the lower limit of the ongoing channel around 1.0280 pushing higher towards 1.0460 then 1.0500 being tested today.


The price level around 1.0465 remains the nearest considerable resistance for the pair. A valid sell entry was recommended at retesting. A daily hanging man was expressed on October 30 followed by a bearish engulfing candlestick confirming our taken position. However, the loonie pair failed to break down below 1.0400 returning back to retest 1.0465 thus establishing another ascending buttoms around 1.0400 and possibly around 1.0450 which threatens our SELL position.


The SELL position should be closed as long as the pair is trading above 1.0460 on a daily basis. Daily fixation above this level with this obvious bullish engulfing pattern will probably enable the pair to reach 1.0560 and 1.0600 quickly.


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USD/CAD H1 analysys for November 14, 2013 Trend News

General overview for 14/11/2013 09:30 CET


The main count has been invalidated and now the alternate count is in play.


This count indicates that wave X brown top is in place at 1.0506 and now some continuation to the downside should develop.


Wave a green is in place already and it had bottomed at 1.0438. Currecntly, the price is correcting that down move and I expect the golden descending trend line OR one of inraday resistance levels will hold.


Moreover, there is a new alternate count that indicates wave B green low at 1.0395 and the current price progression would be a continuation to the upside in wave C green. New highs confirms the alternate count. New low - invalidates it.


Support/Resistance:


1.0506 - Swing High


1.0494 - Intraday Resistance


1.0480 - 61%Fibo


1.0474 - Intraday Resistance


1.0466 - Weekly Pivot


1.0438 - 1.0444 - DEMAND ZONE


1.0438 - Swing Low


Trading recommendations:


For intraday scalps, the golden trend line rejection should be in play with entry at 1.0480 and SL above 1.0495 with potential TP at1.0444.



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#USDX analysis for November 14, 2013 Trend News

Althought the Dollar index has broken the upward sloping trend line that started at 79, prices have found support at the previous resistance level at the 80.60-75 area. The support area is shown with green colours in the chart. Resistance is still the 81.50 area where a triple top was formed.



The decline to 81.50 is in three waves for now and we believe this is a corrective pull back. If prices break above the intermediate high at 81.30, we will have confirmation that the up trend is resuming and that the correction is over. Breaking below the green support area is possible if buyers are not able to break above 81.30. We are bullish in the longer term and as far as the short term is concerned, we want to enter long if prices break above 81.30 and add to long position if 81.50 is broken.



The daily chart is starting to form a pattern of higher highs and higher lows, something that will support our bullish view. Our first target now is the 82-83 area to be reached as long as we trade above 80.50. In the longer term stop for bulls is 79. The longer-term bears should not have a position as the trend is upward.


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Wednesday, 13 November 2013

Gold analysis for November 13, 2013 Trend News

Gold has continued lower towards 1,265 without making any try for an upward bounce. Trend remains downwards and the bears still have the upper hand. Prices have now reached the important neckline area. Prices have made a low in the upper boundaries of that support area.



The daily chart above shows the important support area prices are found right now. We could see an upward bounce towards the downward sloping red trend line at 1,340-50. If this line is broken upwards we should anticipate prices to test 1,400-1,430.



The short-term trend could change if the prices manage to break above 1,283 and could push prices towards 1,300 where the next short-term resistance is. Important resistance is the 1,318 level and after that the 1,340 area. We will turn bullish if prices break above the blue trend line as shown above.


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Tuesday, 12 November 2013

#USDX analysis for November 12, 2013 Trend News

The Dollar index remains supported by bullish trend and the prices are expected to continue higher to new higher highs. Trend remains up, our view remains bullish and the prices are expected to test 81.50 and break above it towards 82.



The dollar index remains bullish as long as the prices trade above the blue upward sloping trend line. Prices have not broken below support at 80.75-60 (previous resistance now turned to support) and we expect the double top at 81.50 to be broken.



Short-term support is found at 81 and below that at 80.80. Short-term resistance is found at 81.50 and long-term resistance as shown in the second chart is found at 81.65-70. We remain bullish with 81.70-82 as target as long as the prices trade above 81. Long-term target is 83.


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